金融一体化、储蓄过剩和资产价格暴涨

Felix Zhiyu Feng,Will Jianyu Lu,Caroline H. Zhu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要金融一体化后的资本外流会导致融资成本较高的经济体的国民储蓄率和资产价格同步上升。在自给自足的情况下,企业投资于风险资本,同时面临借贷限制,这就产生了预防性储蓄的需求。金融一体化为企业提供了获得外国无风险资产的机会,并产生了两种效应:一是替代效应,即企业将部分投资转向外国资产,导致资本外流;以及财富效应,即他们在均衡状态下变得更富有,从而需要更多的国内资本。当财富效应占主导地位时,储蓄过剩和资产价格飙升就会发生。
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Financial Integration, Savings Gluts, and Asset Price Booms
AbstractCapital outflows after financial integration can lead to simultaneous increases in the national savings rate and asset prices of an economy with substantial financing costs. Under autarky, firms invest in risky capital while facing a borrowing constraint that creates a need for precautionary savings. Financial integration provides firms with access to foreign risk-free assets and results in two effects: a substitution effect, whereby firms divert some investments to foreign assets and cause capital outflows; and a wealth effect, whereby they grow richer in equilibrium and thus demand more domestic capital. Savings gluts and asset price booms occur when the wealth effect dominates.
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