金融市场跳跃强度函数的渐近正态性估计

IF 1 4区 数学 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Journal of Time Series Analysis Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI:10.1111/jtsa.12727
Yuping Song, Min Zhu, Jiawei Qiu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

具有跳跃的连续时间扩散模型,特别是跳跃强度系数,可以描述突然和大的冲击对金融市场的影响。通过阈值函数,可以从离散的观测中分离出由跳跃和扩散部分给出的贡献。基于这种阈值技术,我们对具有跳跃的半鞅的未知跳跃强度函数采用了非参数局部线性阈值估计。在一定的正则条件下,给出了有限活动跳变时估计量的渐近正态性。通过蒙特卡洛实验和对美国和中国指数高频收益的实证分析,证明了底层估计器的有限样本性能。
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Asymptotic Normality of Bias Reduction Estimation for Jump Intensity Function in Financial Markets

Continuous-time diffusion models with jumps, especially the jump intensity coefficient, can depict the impact of sudden and large shocks to financial markets. It is possible to disentangle, from the discrete observations, the contributions given by the jumps and those by the diffusion part through threshold functions. Based on this threshold technique, we employ non-parametric local linear threshold estimator for the unknown jump intensity function of a semimartingale with jumps. The asymptotic normality of our estimator is provided in the presence of finite activity jumps under certain regular conditions. The finite-sample performance for the underlying estimator has been shown through a Monte Carlo experiment and an empirical analysis on high frequency returns of indexes in the USA and China.

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来源期刊
Journal of Time Series Analysis
Journal of Time Series Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
39
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: During the last 30 years Time Series Analysis has become one of the most important and widely used branches of Mathematical Statistics. Its fields of application range from neurophysiology to astrophysics and it covers such well-known areas as economic forecasting, study of biological data, control systems, signal processing and communications and vibrations engineering. The Journal of Time Series Analysis started in 1980, has since become the leading journal in its field, publishing papers on both fundamental theory and applications, as well as review papers dealing with recent advances in major areas of the subject and short communications on theoretical developments. The editorial board consists of many of the world''s leading experts in Time Series Analysis.
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Issue Information Gradual Changes in Functional Time Series Editorial: Data Segmentation in Time Series: Structural Breaks and Real-Time Monitoring A Robust Topological Framework for Detecting Regime Changes in Multi-Trial Experiments With Application to Predictive Maintenance Estimation of Change Points for Non-Linear (Auto-)Regressive Processes Using Neural Network Functions
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