从拖网数据中同步贝叶斯估计特定尺寸可捕性及尺寸谱参数

IF 3.1 2区 农林科学 Q1 FISHERIES ICES Journal of Marine Science Pub Date : 2023-12-07 DOI:10.1093/icesjms/fsad186
Kyle J Krumsick, Eric J Pedersen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

独立于渔业的调查是监测海洋种群和群落的重要工具。然而,必须考虑到基于不同大小的可捕获性。因此,特定大小的可捕获性函数是估计大小分布的关键,但通常需要大量数据集或专门的现场实验来确定。我们建立了一个贝叶斯模型,通过假设单个物种的尺寸谱遵循理论上推导出的参数尺寸谱模型,能够同时从拖网数据中估算基于尺寸的可捕曲线和特定物种的尺寸谱参数。由此产生的模型提供了一种在自适应框架内估算可捕性和大小谱的方法,该框架能够容纳诸如渔船功率和鱼类密度等混杂因素,从而有可能改进生物量和生产力的估算。我们利用努纳武特 15 年的格陵兰大比目鱼(Reinhardtius hippoglossoides)调查数据演示了这一模型的应用,以确定特定规格的可捕量,并评估格陵兰大比目鱼的规格谱在整个时间序列中是否发生了变化。虽然没有发现该种群的大小谱参数发生变化,但我们确实发现了在整个研究期间可捕量参数随时间变化的证据。
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Simultaneous Bayesian estimation of size-specific catchability and size spectrum parameters from trawl data
Fisheries-independent surveys are a critical tool for monitoring marine populations and communities. However, considerations must be made to account for variable-size-based catchability. The size-specific catchability function is therefore key for estimating size distributions, but often requires extensive data sets or specialized field experiments to determine. We develop a Bayesian model capable of simultaneously estimating both a size-based catchability curve and species-specific size spectrum parameters from trawl data by assuming that individual species size spectra follow a theoretically derived parametric size spectrum model. The resulting model provides a means of estimating catchability and size spectra within an adaptive framework capable of accommodating confounding factors such as vessel power and fish density, potentially allowing for improved biomass and productivity estimates. We demonstrate the application of this model using 15 years of Greenland Halibut (Reinhardtius hippoglossoides) survey data from Nunavut to determine size-specific catchabilities and assess whether the size spectrum of Greenland Halibut has changed across the time series. While size spectrum parameters for this stock were not found to vary, we did find evidence of time-varying catchability parameters across the study period.
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来源期刊
ICES Journal of Marine Science
ICES Journal of Marine Science 农林科学-海洋学
CiteScore
6.60
自引率
12.10%
发文量
207
审稿时长
6-16 weeks
期刊介绍: The ICES Journal of Marine Science publishes original articles, opinion essays (“Food for Thought”), visions for the future (“Quo Vadimus”), and critical reviews that contribute to our scientific understanding of marine systems and the impact of human activities on them. The Journal also serves as a foundation for scientific advice across the broad spectrum of management and conservation issues related to the marine environment. Oceanography (e.g. productivity-determining processes), marine habitats, living resources, and related topics constitute the key elements of papers considered for publication. This includes economic, social, and public administration studies to the extent that they are directly related to management of the seas and are of general interest to marine scientists. Integrated studies that bridge gaps between traditional disciplines are particularly welcome.
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