伊拉克学校建设项目中重大风险因素的捕捉和分配实证研究

IF 1.7 Q2 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Journal of Engineering Pub Date : 2023-12-02 DOI:10.31026/j.eng.2023.12.06
H. R. Abed, H. A. Rashid
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在伊拉克,超过1031个学校项目因财政、合同或其他问题引起的纠纷和索赔而停止。本研究旨在识别、优先考虑和分配在2017-2022年期间威胁这些项目成功的最关键风险因素。通过系统的文献综述、现实案例研究和半结构化访谈,采用多步骤方法确定了47个风险因素。根据153份经过验证的回复,调查显示,排名前几位的风险因素是腐败和贿赂、延迟向承包商或分包商支付财务费用、缺乏风险管理策略、在施工过程中因更改设计和规格而多次更改订单;时间和预算估算不准确;建筑材料价格;金融和经济危机/金融不稳定;只根据最低报价选择承包商,而不考虑技术能力;政府政治制度的不稳定/政府作为客户的不稳定;外汇汇率对伊拉克第纳尔波动。研究还表明,受访者建议将4个风险因素分配给业主,8个风险因素分配给承包商,1个风险因素分配给顾问,并将32个风险因素分配给共享。研究的结论是,研究结果可以帮助确定这类项目面临的最关键风险,以及能够承担风险并有效管理风险的缔约方。
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Empirical Study for Capturing and Allocating Significant Risk Factors in School Construction Projects in Iraq
In Iraq, more than 1031 school projects have been halted due to disputes and claims resulting from financial, contractual, or other issues. This research aims to identify, prioritize, and allocate the most critical risk factors that threaten these projects’ success for the duration (2017-2022). Based on a multi-step methodology developed through systematic literature reviews, realistic case studies, and semi-structured interviews, 47 risk factors were identified. Based on 153 verified responses, the survey reveals that the top-ranked risk factors are corruption and bribery, delaying the payments of the financial dues to the contractors or sub-contractors, absence of risk management strategy, multiple change orders due to changing designs and specifications during construction; inaccuracy in time and budget estimation; construction material price; financial and economic crisis/financial instability; selecting the contractor only based on the lowest bid, regardless of technical competence; instability within the political system of the government/instability of the government as a client; foreign exchange rates fluctuate against the Iraqi dinar. The study also showed that the respondents recommended allocating four risks to the owner, eight risk factors to the contractor, one risk to the consultant, and 32 factors allocated as shared. The study concluded that the results could help identify the most critical risks facing this type of project and the contracting party that can bear the risks and manage them efficiently.
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来源期刊
Journal of Engineering
Journal of Engineering ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
4.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
68
期刊介绍: Journal of Engineering is a peer-reviewed, Open Access journal that publishes original research articles as well as review articles in several areas of engineering. The subject areas covered by the journal are: - Chemical Engineering - Civil Engineering - Computer Engineering - Electrical Engineering - Industrial Engineering - Mechanical Engineering
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