基于深度学习的台风多阶段云特征研究

IF 2.5 4区 地球科学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Atmosphere Pub Date : 2023-12-13 DOI:10.3390/atmos14121820
Mengran Wang, Yongqiang Cao, Jiaqi Yao, Hong Zhu, Ningyue Zhang, Xinhui Ji, Jing Li, Zichun Guo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

分析台风的发展演变特征,有助于完善台风监测,优化预警模式。基于深度学习模型YOLOv5和Himawari-8数据产品,分析台风“英法”的移动路径和云系演变。本研究的具体结论如下:(1)基于YOLOv5模型和亮温摄动算法,实现台风中心定位,其中以Himawari-8亮温图像作为模型输入,模型输出为台风范围边界。结果表明,该方法对眼台风的监测准确率为90%,对盲台风的监测准确率为83%。亮度温度扰动算法确定的台风中心位置与CMA最佳路径数据集(CMA)的拟合优度≈0.99非常接近。(2)研究发现,随着台风的发展,云团的密度增大,云参数也随之变化。然而,随着台风接近陆地,云结构崩塌,云参数迅速下降。(3)台风云系的变化与地形和地表温度有关。云光学厚度(COT)的变化受数字高程模式的影响(相关系数为- 0.18),而云顶温度(CTT)和云顶高度(CTH)的变化主要受地表温度变化的影响(相关系数为CTT - 0.69, CTH - 0.37)。这表明海洋环境支持台风云和降水的垂直发展。综上所述,本研究优化了台风移动路径和云量变化趋势的定位模拟,有助于提高沿海城市台风预警和响应能力,降低台风对沿海地区居民日常生活的威胁。
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Research on Typhoon Multi-Stage Cloud Characteristics Based on Deep Learning
Analyzing the development and evolution characteristics of typhoons are conducive to improving typhoon monitoring and optimizing early warning models. Based on the deep learning model YOLOv5 and Himawari-8 data products, this study analyzes the movement path and cloud evolution of typhoon “Infa”. The specific conclusions of this study are as follows. (1) Based on the YOLOv5 model and brightness temperature perturbation algorithm, the central positioning of the typhoon is realized, where the Himawari-8 bright temperature image is used as the input of the model and the output of the model is the typhoon range boundary. The results show that this method was 90% accurate for monitoring ocular typhoons and 83% accurate for blind typhoons. The typhoon center location determined by the brightness temperature perturbation algorithm closely matched the CMA best-path dataset (CMA) (goodness of fit ≈0.99). (2) This study observed that as typhoons developed, cloud parameters evolved with the cloud cluster becoming denser. However, as the typhoon neared land, the cloud structure collapsed and cloud parameters decreased rapidly. (3) Changes in the typhoon cloud system were linked to topography and surface temperature. Changes in cloud optical thickness (COT) were influenced by the digital elevation model (correlation −0.18), while changes in cloud top temperature (CTT) and cloud top height (CTH) were primarily affected by surface temperature changes (correlation values: CTT −0.69, CTH −0.37). This suggests that the ocean environment supports the vertical development of typhoon clouds and precipitation. In summary, this study optimized the positioning simulation of typhoon movement paths and cloud change trends, and this is helpful for improving the early warning and response-ability of typhoons in coastal cities and for reducing the threat of typhoons to the daily life of residents in coastal areas.
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来源期刊
Atmosphere
Atmosphere METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES-
CiteScore
4.60
自引率
13.80%
发文量
1769
审稿时长
1 months
期刊介绍: Atmosphere (ISSN 2073-4433) is an international and cross-disciplinary scholarly journal of scientific studies related to the atmosphere. It publishes reviews, regular research papers, communications and short notes, and there is no restriction on the length of the papers. Our aim is to encourage scientists to publish their experimental and theoretical research in as much detail as possible. Full experimental and/or methodical details must be provided for research articles.
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