An Analysis of Swarm Earthquakes in the Area of the Elbrus Volcanic Center

This paper reports results from an analysis of swarm seismic events that were recorded in 2018 in the area of the Elbrus Volcanic Center (EVC) by the North Caucasus Seismological Network of the Federal Research Center, Geophysical Survey, Russian Academy of Sciences (FRC GS RAS). The standard location procedure was used to find the hypocenters of recorded events in the EVC area. In the LOS program package, a complex combined location algorithm, methods for minimizing the time residuals at the source, and search over a grid with several trial depth values, were used to relocate the hypocenters of seismic events in swarm sequences. This approach enhances location reliability due to incorporation of the uncertainties related to erroneous onset identification and insignificant deviations of travel times that depend on the earth velocity model used here. A study of earthquake mechanisms for the larger earthquakes has determined the type of slip in agreement with the kinematics in the Elbrus–Mineralnye Vody normal-oblique fault zone. Correlation analysis of waveforms on the vertical component that have been filtered in the frequency range 1‒10 Hz, which includes P and S waves, at the nearest station shows a high agreement among the data under analysis (the correlation coefficient is R ≥ 0.85), thus indicating a high probability of all events having similar sources and propagation paths of seismic waves. Comparison of power spectral densities for individual earthquakes in the swarm sequences also demonstrates a high similarity.