作为系统综述纳入标准的可信度评估--对结果有何影响?

Jo Weeks, Anna Cuthbert, Zarko Alfirevic
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摘要

越来越多的人担心Cochrane综述中纳入的相当大比例的随机对照试验(RCTs)可能不可信。应用Cochrane妊娠和分娩可信度筛查工具(CPC-TST)已经对Cochrane妊娠和分娩组发表的几篇综述产生了重要的临床影响。目的:我们想评估从Cochrane已发表的某一临床领域(产前和产后营养干预)综述中删除不可信的随机对照试验的影响。方法我们将该工具应用于18篇Cochrane综述(374项随机对照试验)。该工具有四个领域:(i)研究治理是否值得信赖;(ii)基线特征是否值得信赖;(iii)研究是否可行;(iv)结果是否可信?当需要额外的信息时,使用标准模板与作者联系。记者至少两次试图联系撰文人。在评估过程结束时,每个研究被分类为:(i)包括(对所有问题都是);(ii)被排除(撤回研究);或(iii)等待分类(对问题有任何否定)。结果374项纳入的研究中有93项(25%)被重新分类为“排除”或“等待分类”。18篇综述中有14篇减少了纳入的rct数量。6篇综述(33%)被判定需要更新,因为结论总结表(效果的方向和大小和/或GRADE评分)、结论、对实践的影响和/或对研究的影响存在重要差异。对可信度的正式评估,以及只纳入满足预先规定的可信度标准的研究,会影响相对大量Cochrane综述的结论,对实践和研究具有潜在的重要临床意义。
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Trustworthiness assessment as an inclusion criterion for systematic reviews—What is the impact on results?

Background

There is increasing concern that a significant proportion of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) included in Cochrane reviews may not be trustworthy. Applying the Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth Trustworthiness Screening Tool (CPC-TST) has already had a clinically important effect on several reviews published by the Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth Group.

Objectives

We wanted to assess the impact of removing untrustworthy RCTs from already-published Cochrane reviews on a defined clinical area (antenatal and postnatal nutritional interventions).

Methods

We applied the tool to 18 Cochrane reviews (374 RCTs). The tool had four domains: (i) is the research governance trustworthy; (ii) are the baseline characteristics trustworthy; (iii) is the study feasible; (iv) are the results plausible? When additional information was needed, authors were contacted using a standard template. At least two attempts were made to contact the authors. At the end of the evaluation process each study was classified as: (i) included (YES to all questions); (ii) excluded (retracted study); or (iii) awaiting classification (any NO to the questions).

Results

Ninety-three out of 374 included studies (25%) were reclassified as “excluded” or “awaiting classification.” The number of included RCTs was reduced in 14 out of 18 reviews. Six reviews (33%) were judged to require updating because of important differences in the Summary of Findings tables (direction and size of effects and/or GRADE ratings), conclusions, implication for practice, and/or implication for research.

Conclusions

Formal assessment of trustworthiness, and inclusion only of studies that satisfy prespecified criteria for trustworthiness, affect conclusions in a relatively large number of Cochrane reviews, with potentially important clinical implications for practice and research.

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