众多债权人,一个大债务人:理解全球金融危机后全球股票失衡的积累

IF 3.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Imf Economic Review Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI:10.1057/s41308-023-00229-4
Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在过去十年中,全球债权国和债务国相对于世界国内生产总值的头寸显著扩大,美国占对外净负债的绝大部分,全球债权净额激增,尤其是发达欧洲和发达亚洲的较小经济体。尽管全球经常账户失衡有所缓解,但仍出现了这种情况。本文探讨了支撑这些发展的因素,强调了美国资产价格上涨和美元升值在扩大美国净债务国地位方面的作用,并研究了这些估值收益在其他国家的对外账户中的反映方式、地点和程度。报告还探讨了解释新出现的大型国际债权人的经济和结构性因素,强调了共同特征,但也有重要的国别因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Many Creditors, One Large Debtor: Understanding the Buildup of Global Stock Imbalances After the Global Financial Crisis

The past decade has seen a remarkable widening of global creditor and debtor positions in relation to world GDP, with the lion’s share of net external liabilities accounted for by the USA, and a surge in net global claims particularly in advanced Europe and smaller economies of advanced Asia. This has occurred despite a compression in global current account imbalances. This paper explores the factors underpinning these developments, highlighting the role of the US asset price boom and dollar appreciation in widening the net US debtor position, and examines how, where, and to what extent those valuation gains are reflected in other countries’ external accounts. It also looks at the economic and structural factors explaining the emergence of new large international creditors, highlighting common features but also important country-specific factors.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.50
自引率
4.70%
发文量
39
期刊介绍: The IMF Economic Review is the official research journal of the International Monetary Fund (IMF). It is dedicated to publishing peer-reviewed, high-quality, context-related academic research on open-economy macroeconomics. It emphasizes rigorous analysis with an empirical orientation that is of interest to a broad audience, including academics and policymakers. Studies that borrow from, and interact with, other fields such as finance, international trade, political economy, labor, economic history or development are also welcome. The views presented in published papers are those of the authors and should not be attributed to, or reported as, reflecting the position of the IMF, its Executive Board, or any other organization mentioned herein. Comments “The IMF Economic Review has been uniquely successful in publishing papers that rigorously analyze real international macroeconomic problems and in a manner that has immediate policy relevance. This success is owed to a great extent to the high quality of the editorial board, which is able to identify papers that are both relevant for policy and are executed using state-of-the-art tools so as to make the analysis compelling.” - Gita Gopinath, Economic Counsellor and Director of Research, IMF “IMF Economic Review is devoted to state-of-the-art research on the global economy. Given the Fund''s unique position on the front lines of surveillance and crisis management, anyone interested in international economic policy or in macroeconomics more generally will find this journal to be essential reading.” - Maurice Obstfeld, Professor of Economics at University of California, Berkeley; and former Economic Counsellor and Director of Research, IMF “There is great need for a rigorous academic publication that addresses the key global macro questions of our times. This is what the IMF Economic Review aims to be.” - Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Professor of Economics at University of California, Berkeley; and former Editor of the IMF Economic Review “To navigate the global crisis, and to take the best policy decisions, will require mobilizing and extending the knowledge we have about open economy macro, from the implications of liquidity traps, to the dangers of large fiscal deficits, to macro-financial interactions, to the contours of a better international monetary and financial system. My hope and my expectation is that the IMF Economic Review will be central to the effort.” - Olivier J. Blanchard, Peterson Institute for International Economics; former Economic Counsellor and Director of Research Department, IMF
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