Subjective stress and any drinking during alcohol treatment: Disentangling within and between person autoregressive effects

Alcohol use has been shown to increase stress, and there is some evidence that stress predicts subsequent alcohol use during treatment for alcohol use disorder (AUD), particularly among females who are more likely to report coping-motivated drinking. Gaining a better understanding of the processes by which stress and alcohol use are linked during treatment could potentially inform AUD treatment planning. The current study aimed to characterize the association between stress and drinking during the course of AUD treatment and whether there were sex differences in these associations. Secondary data analyses of the COMBINE study (N = 1375; 69% male, 76.3% non-Hispanic and white, average age of 44.4 years) were conducted to examine self-reported perceived stress and alcohol consumption across 16 weeks of treatment for AUD using a Bayesian random-intercept cross-lagged panel model. There was stronger evidence for any alcohol use predicting greater than typical stress in subsequent weeks and less strong evidence for stress increasing the subsequent probability of alcohol use, particularly among males. For females, greater stress predicted subsequent drinking earlier in the treatment period, and a lower probability of subsequent drinking in the last week of treatment. Interventions might specifically focus on targeting reductions in stress following drinking occasions.