2018-2021年影响中爪哇省贫困率的因素分析i

Fauzan Aji Kusuma
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摘要

贫困是政府重点关注的基本问题之一。降低贫困率是中爪哇省政府的计划之一。因此,有必要了解哪些因素会影响中爪哇省的贫困率。本研究旨在分析人类发展指数(HDI)、地区国内生产总值(GRDP)、人口、失业率、政府支出对中爪哇省贫困率的影响。本研究使用中央统计局(BPS)提供的 2018-2021 年数据,通过使用集合最小二乘法(PLS)模型、固定效应模型(FEM)和随机效应模型(REM)三种模型进行面板数据回归。固定效应模型(FEM)的模型规格结果最佳。研究结果表明,人类发展指数对贫困率的影响为负且不显著,国内生产总值对贫困率的影响为负且不显著,人口对贫困率的影响为显著的负,失业率对贫困率的影响为负且不显著,政府支出对贫困率的影响为正且不显著。
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Analysisi of Factors Affecting The Poverty Rate In Central Java Province in 2018-2021
Poverty is one of the fundamental issues that is the center of the government's attention. Reducing the poverty rate is one of the Central Java government programs. By Therefore, it is necessary to know what factors can affect the poverty rate in Central Java. This study aims to analyze the influence of the human development index (HDI), gross regional domestic product (GRDP), population, unemployment rate, Government expenditure on the poverty rate in Central Java Province. This research uses data from 2018-2021 sourced from the central statistics agency (BPS) by using panel data regression using three models pooled least squares (PLS) models, fixed effect model (FEM), and random effect model (REM). The best model specification results is the fixed effect model (FEM). The results of this study indicate that the human development index has a negative and insignificant effect on the poverty rate, gross domestic product has a negative and insignificant effect on the poverty rate, population has a significant negative effect on the poverty rate, the unemployment rate has a negative and insignificant effect on the poverty rate, and government spending has a positive and insignificant effect on the poverty rate
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