{"title":"热带气旋加强率与内核降水和对流特征的关系","authors":"Xinxi Wang, Haiyan Jiang, Oscar Guzman","doi":"10.1175/waf-d-23-0155.1","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"\nUsing Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Microwave Imager observations of global tropical cyclones (TCs) from 1998 to 2013, relationships between TC intensification rate and inner-core convective and precipitation parameters are examined by decoupling the dependency of these parameters on TC intensity and that on TC intensification rate. Sixteen TC intensity change-intensity categories are categorized based on the initial intensity and 24-h future intensity change. The results show that the TC inner-core mean rain rate, convective intensity, and stratiform rain occurrence, and axisymmetric index of convective intensity increase significantly with TC intensification rate for each TC intensity category. The symmetry of rain rate and stratiform rainfall occurrence also increase significantly with TC intensification rate for each intensity category, except from slowly intensifying (SI) to rapidly intensifying (RI) group when the initial intensity is major hurricane. The RI major hurricanes have significantly more asymmetric rainfall distribution and distribution of stratiform rainfall occurrence than those of SI major hurricanes. For TCs with initial intensity in tropical depression, tropical storm, and major hurricane categories, the RI group has a significantly more asymmetric pattern of shallow precipitation/convection occurrence in the inner core than the SI group, while it has a significantly more symmetric pattern of deep convection occurrence than the SI group. The inner-core size, as quantified by the radius of maximum azimuthal mean rainfall decreases with both TC intensification rate and TC intensity.","PeriodicalId":49369,"journal":{"name":"Weather and Forecasting","volume":" 19","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Relating Tropical Cyclone Intensification Rate to Precipitation and Convective Features in the Inner Core\",\"authors\":\"Xinxi Wang, Haiyan Jiang, Oscar Guzman\",\"doi\":\"10.1175/waf-d-23-0155.1\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"\\nUsing Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Microwave Imager observations of global tropical cyclones (TCs) from 1998 to 2013, relationships between TC intensification rate and inner-core convective and precipitation parameters are examined by decoupling the dependency of these parameters on TC intensity and that on TC intensification rate. Sixteen TC intensity change-intensity categories are categorized based on the initial intensity and 24-h future intensity change. The results show that the TC inner-core mean rain rate, convective intensity, and stratiform rain occurrence, and axisymmetric index of convective intensity increase significantly with TC intensification rate for each TC intensity category. The symmetry of rain rate and stratiform rainfall occurrence also increase significantly with TC intensification rate for each intensity category, except from slowly intensifying (SI) to rapidly intensifying (RI) group when the initial intensity is major hurricane. The RI major hurricanes have significantly more asymmetric rainfall distribution and distribution of stratiform rainfall occurrence than those of SI major hurricanes. For TCs with initial intensity in tropical depression, tropical storm, and major hurricane categories, the RI group has a significantly more asymmetric pattern of shallow precipitation/convection occurrence in the inner core than the SI group, while it has a significantly more symmetric pattern of deep convection occurrence than the SI group. The inner-core size, as quantified by the radius of maximum azimuthal mean rainfall decreases with both TC intensification rate and TC intensity.\",\"PeriodicalId\":49369,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Weather and Forecasting\",\"volume\":\" 19\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-12-19\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Weather and Forecasting\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"89\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1175/waf-d-23-0155.1\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"地球科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Weather and Forecasting","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1175/waf-d-23-0155.1","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
利用热带降雨测量任务微波成像仪对 1998 年至 2013 年全球热带气旋(TC)的观测数据,通过将这些参数对热带气旋强度的依赖性与对热带气旋增强率的依赖性分离,研究了热带气旋增强率与内核对流和降水参数之间的关系。根据初始强度和 24 小时未来强度变化,划分了 16 个 TC 强度变化-强度类别。结果表明,在每个TC强度类别中,TC内核平均雨率、对流强度和层状雨发生率以及对流强度轴对称指数随着TC增强率的增加而显著增加。除初始强度为大飓风时从缓慢增强组(SI)到快速增强组(RI)外,各强度组的雨率对称性和层状雨出现率也随 TC 增强率的增加而显著增加。与 SI 大飓风相比,RI 大飓风的降雨分布和层状降雨出现率分布明显更不对称。对于初始强度为热带低压、热带风暴和大飓风的热带气旋,RI 组内核浅层降水/对流出现的非对称模式明显多于 SI 组,而其深层对流出现的对称模式则明显多于 SI 组。以最大方位角平均降雨量半径量化的内核大小随着热气旋加强率和热气旋强度的增加而减小。
Relating Tropical Cyclone Intensification Rate to Precipitation and Convective Features in the Inner Core
Using Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Microwave Imager observations of global tropical cyclones (TCs) from 1998 to 2013, relationships between TC intensification rate and inner-core convective and precipitation parameters are examined by decoupling the dependency of these parameters on TC intensity and that on TC intensification rate. Sixteen TC intensity change-intensity categories are categorized based on the initial intensity and 24-h future intensity change. The results show that the TC inner-core mean rain rate, convective intensity, and stratiform rain occurrence, and axisymmetric index of convective intensity increase significantly with TC intensification rate for each TC intensity category. The symmetry of rain rate and stratiform rainfall occurrence also increase significantly with TC intensification rate for each intensity category, except from slowly intensifying (SI) to rapidly intensifying (RI) group when the initial intensity is major hurricane. The RI major hurricanes have significantly more asymmetric rainfall distribution and distribution of stratiform rainfall occurrence than those of SI major hurricanes. For TCs with initial intensity in tropical depression, tropical storm, and major hurricane categories, the RI group has a significantly more asymmetric pattern of shallow precipitation/convection occurrence in the inner core than the SI group, while it has a significantly more symmetric pattern of deep convection occurrence than the SI group. The inner-core size, as quantified by the radius of maximum azimuthal mean rainfall decreases with both TC intensification rate and TC intensity.
期刊介绍:
Weather and Forecasting (WAF) (ISSN: 0882-8156; eISSN: 1520-0434) publishes research that is relevant to operational forecasting. This includes papers on significant weather events, forecasting techniques, forecast verification, model parameterizations, data assimilation, model ensembles, statistical postprocessing techniques, the transfer of research results to the forecasting community, and the societal use and value of forecasts. The scope of WAF includes research relevant to forecast lead times ranging from short-term “nowcasts” through seasonal time scales out to approximately two years.