农村人口外迁及其对埃塞俄比亚南部生产者作物生产效率的影响

F. Eshetu, J. Haji, M. Ketema, Abule Mehare
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究基于从 415 个农村家庭随机抽样中收集的原始数据,探讨了劳动力外迁对埃塞俄比亚 Kembata-Tembaro 和 Hadiya 地区小麦和茶叶生产者每公顷产量和效率的影响。分析模型采用了多项式内生转换模型。根据随机前沿模型,小麦和茶叶的平均效率分别为 82.98%和 66.43%。计量经济学结果表明,农村向城市迁移和国际迁移分别降低了小麦生产率 110.94 千克和 179.11 千克。平均处理对处理的影响(ATT)也显示,参与国际移民使茶叶生产者的技术效率降低了 5.51%。然而,由于农村城市移民和国际移民,茶夫生产率分别降低了 382.94 千克和 747.49 千克。研究结果维持了现代移民理论中的劳动力流失渠道。为了尽量减少研究地区人口向外迁移的负面影响,政策制定者必须更加重视促进农村家庭获得信贷、灌溉、土地、非农就业和公共服务。
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Rural Out-migration and Its Impact on Crop Production Efficiency of Producers in Southern Ethiopia
The research delt with the effect of labour out-migration on output per hectare and efficiency of wheat and teff producers in Kembata-Tembaro and Hadiya zones of Ethiopia based on primary data gathered from 415 random sample of rural households. The multinomial endogenous switching model was used as an analytical model. According to the stochastic frontier model, the mean efficiency of wheat and teff are 82.98 and 66.43 per cent, respectively. According to the econometric results, rural–urban and international migration reduces wheat productivity by 110.94 and 179.11 kg, respectively. The average treatment effect on treated (ATT) also revealed that participation in international migration reduces Teff producers’ technical efficiency by 5.51 per cent. However, teff productivity is reduced by 382.94 and 747.49 kg due to rural urban and international migration, respectively. The lost labour channel of the modern theory of migration is maintained by the result of the study. So as to minimise the negative impact of out-migration in the study area, policymakers must focus more on promoting access to credit, irrigation, land, off-farm employment and public services for rural households.
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来源期刊
International Journal of Rural Management
International Journal of Rural Management Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development
CiteScore
2.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
14
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