风是波兰的一种自然灾害

IF 4.2 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI:10.5194/nhess-23-3839-2023
T. Chmielewski, P. Bońkowski
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要本文涉及波兰极端风事件的风速及其影响描述。本文介绍了华沙气象和水管理研究所以及 Halina Lorenc(该研究所的前同事)最近开发的两种估算方法。它们的优缺点将在此简要介绍。对 1971 年至 2007 年期间在所有气象站测量到的 37 个年度最大阵风风速,采用极值概率论、块-最大值 (BM) 和峰值超过阈值 (OVT) 等方法进行了分析。根据测量和估计的风速(取自现有文献),作者对波兰可能出现的极端风速提出了新的估计。不久之后,波兰将建造重要的建筑,如中央航站楼和(部分)核电站,因此了解我国的极端风对设计这些建筑的工程师来说意义重大。
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Wind as a natural hazard in Poland
Abstract. The paper deals with wind speeds of extreme wind events in Poland and the descriptions of their effects. Two recent estimations developed by the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management in Warsaw and by Halina Lorenc (a previous co-worker of the institute) are presented here. Their strong and weak points are briefly described. The 37 annual maximum gusts of wind speeds measured at all meteorological stations between 1971 and 2007 are analysed by an extremal probability paper, block-maxima (BM), and peak-over-threshold (OVT) approaches. Based on the measured and estimated wind speeds (taken from existing literature), the authors suggest new estimations for extreme winds that may occur in Poland. Shortly, Poland will construct important structures, such as a central air terminal and (some) nuclear power plants, so knowledge about extreme winds in our country is significant for engineers who will design these structures.
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来源期刊
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 地学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
7.60
自引率
6.50%
发文量
192
审稿时长
3.8 months
期刊介绍: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS) is an interdisciplinary and international journal dedicated to the public discussion and open-access publication of high-quality studies and original research on natural hazards and their consequences. Embracing a holistic Earth system science approach, NHESS serves a wide and diverse community of research scientists, practitioners, and decision makers concerned with detection of natural hazards, monitoring and modelling, vulnerability and risk assessment, and the design and implementation of mitigation and adaptation strategies, including economical, societal, and educational aspects.
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