{"title":"有风险的恢复:对 Whaley Bridge 水库洪水风险的看法","authors":"Sophie Hancock","doi":"10.1680/jdare.23.00500","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Understanding flood risk perceptions is critical for effective flood risk communication. In 2019, heavy rainfall triggered the failure of Toddbrook Reservoir's spillway resulting in a severe flood warning being issued for the Whaley Bridge area. In 2022, a large-scale restoration began at the reservoir. This paper describes perceptions of reservoir flood risk by the residents of Whaley Bridge and experts in environmental science and engineering. Results show that risk perception varies, with residents perceiving reservoir flood risk subjectively and experts perceiving risk objectively. With no previous risk communication, residents did not consider there to be a risk of reservoir failure; moreover, they have trust in Toddbrook's restoration. Meanwhile, experts emphasize that risk can never be fully eliminated, but that the probability of failure is extremely low. Climate change is considered by some as a contributing factor to the event and uncertainties in the risks that it poses has meant that there is a requirement to improve and maintain existing dams to mitigate risk. Findings have demonstrated the importance of more advanced risk communication as well as a necessity to improve flood risk maps for accessibility, awareness and to better account for the probability of failure in order to avoid the misinterpretation of risk. By identifying differing perceptions of risk between experts and residents, data results can be used to enhance reservoir risk communication. This paper is based on the author's undergraduate thesis titled ‘Restoring with Risk: Perceptions of Reservoir Flood Risk in Whaley Bridge’ at Bath Spa University in 2023.","PeriodicalId":39070,"journal":{"name":"Dams and Reservoirs","volume":"84 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-12-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Restoring with risk: perceptions of reservoir flood risk in Whaley Bridge\",\"authors\":\"Sophie Hancock\",\"doi\":\"10.1680/jdare.23.00500\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Understanding flood risk perceptions is critical for effective flood risk communication. In 2019, heavy rainfall triggered the failure of Toddbrook Reservoir's spillway resulting in a severe flood warning being issued for the Whaley Bridge area. In 2022, a large-scale restoration began at the reservoir. This paper describes perceptions of reservoir flood risk by the residents of Whaley Bridge and experts in environmental science and engineering. Results show that risk perception varies, with residents perceiving reservoir flood risk subjectively and experts perceiving risk objectively. With no previous risk communication, residents did not consider there to be a risk of reservoir failure; moreover, they have trust in Toddbrook's restoration. Meanwhile, experts emphasize that risk can never be fully eliminated, but that the probability of failure is extremely low. Climate change is considered by some as a contributing factor to the event and uncertainties in the risks that it poses has meant that there is a requirement to improve and maintain existing dams to mitigate risk. Findings have demonstrated the importance of more advanced risk communication as well as a necessity to improve flood risk maps for accessibility, awareness and to better account for the probability of failure in order to avoid the misinterpretation of risk. By identifying differing perceptions of risk between experts and residents, data results can be used to enhance reservoir risk communication. This paper is based on the author's undergraduate thesis titled ‘Restoring with Risk: Perceptions of Reservoir Flood Risk in Whaley Bridge’ at Bath Spa University in 2023.\",\"PeriodicalId\":39070,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Dams and Reservoirs\",\"volume\":\"84 3\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-12-13\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Dams and Reservoirs\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1680/jdare.23.00500\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"Earth and Planetary Sciences\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Dams and Reservoirs","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1680/jdare.23.00500","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
了解洪水风险认知对于有效的洪水风险沟通至关重要。2019 年,暴雨引发 Toddbrook 水库溢洪道溃坝,导致 Whaley Bridge 地区发布严重洪水预警。2022 年,水库开始进行大规模修复。本文介绍了惠利桥居民和环境科学与工程专家对水库洪水风险的看法。结果显示,风险认知存在差异,居民对水库洪水风险的认知是主观的,而专家对风险的认知是客观的。由于之前没有进行过风险交流,居民并不认为存在水库溃坝的风险;此外,他们还对 Toddbrook 的修复工作表示信任。同时,专家强调,风险永远不可能完全消除,但溃坝的可能性极低。一些人认为气候变化是导致溃坝的一个因素,而气候变化带来的风险的不确定性意味着需要对现有大坝进行改进和维护,以降低风险。研究结果表明,进行更先进的风险交流非常重要,同时有必要改进洪水风险地图,以提高可访问性和认知度,并更好地考虑溃坝概率,从而避免对风险的误读。通过识别专家和居民对风险的不同认识,数据结果可用于加强水库风险交流。本文基于作者于 2023 年在巴斯斯帕大学完成的本科论文 "Restoring with Risk: Perceptions of Reservoir Flood Risk in Whaley Bridge"。
Restoring with risk: perceptions of reservoir flood risk in Whaley Bridge
Understanding flood risk perceptions is critical for effective flood risk communication. In 2019, heavy rainfall triggered the failure of Toddbrook Reservoir's spillway resulting in a severe flood warning being issued for the Whaley Bridge area. In 2022, a large-scale restoration began at the reservoir. This paper describes perceptions of reservoir flood risk by the residents of Whaley Bridge and experts in environmental science and engineering. Results show that risk perception varies, with residents perceiving reservoir flood risk subjectively and experts perceiving risk objectively. With no previous risk communication, residents did not consider there to be a risk of reservoir failure; moreover, they have trust in Toddbrook's restoration. Meanwhile, experts emphasize that risk can never be fully eliminated, but that the probability of failure is extremely low. Climate change is considered by some as a contributing factor to the event and uncertainties in the risks that it poses has meant that there is a requirement to improve and maintain existing dams to mitigate risk. Findings have demonstrated the importance of more advanced risk communication as well as a necessity to improve flood risk maps for accessibility, awareness and to better account for the probability of failure in order to avoid the misinterpretation of risk. By identifying differing perceptions of risk between experts and residents, data results can be used to enhance reservoir risk communication. This paper is based on the author's undergraduate thesis titled ‘Restoring with Risk: Perceptions of Reservoir Flood Risk in Whaley Bridge’ at Bath Spa University in 2023.