Early Intestinal Ultrasound Response to Biologic Therapy Predicts Endoscopic Remission in Children with Ileal Crohn's Disease: Results from the Prospective Super Sonic Study.

Background and aims: STRIDE-II recommends early biomarker targets for treatment optimization to achieve treat-to-target [T2T] endoscopic remission [ER] in Crohn's disease [CD]. The predictive capabilities of intestinal ultrasound [IUS] for T2T ER remain unknown. We aimed to evaluate IUS response to predict ER in children with CD.

Methods: This was a prospective longitudinal cohort study of children with ileal [TI] CD initiating biologic therapy undergoing IUS, clinical disease activity, and C-reactive protein [CRP] assessments at baseline, week 8, 6 months, and T2T within 1 year. The primary outcome was the accuracy of optimal cut-points to predict TI ER [SES-CD ≤ 2] for change in bowel wall thickness [BWT] on IUS from baseline to week 8, and BWT at week 8. Area under the receiver operating curve [AUROC] analysis was performed and univariate analysis tested associations.

Results: In total, 44 children (median age 13 [IQR 12-17] years, 29 [66%] biologic naïve) were included, and 29 [66%] achieved ER. A ≥18% decrease in TI BWT at week 8 predicted ER with an AUROC of 0.99 [95% CI 0.98-1.00], 100% sensitivity, 93% specificity, 97% positive predictive value, and 100% negative predictive value, superior to a ≥46% decrease in PCDAI (AUROC 0.67 [95% CI 0.49-0.84]) and ≥84% decrease in CRP (AUROC 0.49 [95% CI 0.31-0.67]) at week 8.

Conclusions: Early change in TI BWT on IUS is highly predictive of ER in children with CD and superior to symptoms and CRP. Our findings suggest that IUS could be used for treatment optimization and tight control to guide T2T strategies.