能源消耗、经济增长和二氧化碳排放的三驾马车:五个亚洲经济体的量子回归证据

IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Geographical Journal Pub Date : 2023-12-27 DOI:10.1111/geoj.12573
Saleem Khan, Noor Jehan, Abdur Rauf, Fahim Nawaz, Naila Erum
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究探讨了可再生能源和经济增长对亚洲五个人口最多国家环境质量的二次影响:中国、印度、印度尼西亚、巴基斯坦和孟加拉国。以往的文献很少涉及这些经济体,而且在一项研究中忽略了人均国内生产总值(GDPPC)和可再生能源(REN)的二次作用。因此,利用 STIRPAT 模型,我们首先加入了 GDPPC 的二次项,然后加入了 REN 的二次项。在这两种情况下,考虑到二氧化碳排放量的不同量化值(0.25、0.50、0.75、0.90 和 0.95),我们采用了量化回归技术来确定二氧化碳排放量与决定因素之间的包容性关系。研究结果表明,在 1983-2019 年的年度样本期间,城市化、GDPPC、不可再生能源和 REN 都会对二氧化碳排放量产生影响。城市化和可再生能源具有名义效应,这两个变量每变化 1%,二氧化碳排放量就会分别变化 0.19% 和 0.05%。不可再生能源和 GDPPC 是该地区二氧化碳排放的主要来源。GDPPC 与所有量级的二氧化碳排放量都呈正相关,但量级越高,相关性越强(即 GDPPC 系数从 0.26 到 0.66 不等)。此外,结果还显示,GDPPC 和 REN 的平方项显著减少了二氧化碳排放量。这意味着我们的结果支持环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假说;GDPPC 和 REN 均呈倒 U 型。这些结果鼓励政策制定者采用既有利于增长又有利于环境的可再生能源。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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The troika of energy consumption, economic growth, and CO2 emission: Quantile regression evidences for five Asian economies

This study examined the quadratic role of renewable energy and economic growth on environment quality in Asia's five most populous countries: China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, and Bangladesh. Previous literature has scarcely addressed these economies and ignores the quadratic role of GDP per capita (GDPPC) and renewable energy (REN) together in a single study. Therefore, using STIRPAT model, we first added the quadratic term of GDPPC and then REN. In both cases, a quantile regression technique is utilised to identify the inclusive relationship between CO2 emissions and determining factors, considering different quantiles (0.25, 0.50, 0.75, 0.90, and 0.95) of CO2 emissions. The findings show that during the annual sample period of 1983–2019, urbanisation, GDPPC, non-renewable energy, and REN all have an impact on CO2 emissions. Urbanisation and REN have nominal effects, with a 1% change in these variables leading to a 0.19% and 0.05% change in CO2 emissions, respectively. Non-renewable energy and GDPPC are found to be main sources of CO2 emissions in the region. GDPPC is positively associated with CO2 emissions across all quantiles, but higher quantiles show a stronger correlation (i.e., GDPPC coefficients vary from 0.26 to 0.66). In addition, the results also revealed that the square term of GDPPC and REN significantly reduces CO2 emissions. This implies that our results support the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis; an inverted U-shaped is established for both GDPPC and REN. These results encourage policy makers to adopt renewable energy that is both growth and environment friendly.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
3.30%
发文量
69
期刊介绍: The Geographical Journal has been the academic journal of the Royal Geographical Society, under the terms of the Royal Charter, since 1893. It publishes papers from across the entire subject of geography, with particular reference to public debates, policy-orientated agendas.
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