恐惧因素--非洲的蛇类可能面临惊人的灭绝风险

IF 7.7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Conservation Letters Pub Date : 2023-12-31 DOI:10.1111/conl.12998
Harith Farooq, Jonas Geldmann
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引用次数: 0

摘要

非洲每年有超过 20 000 人死于蛇的滥杀。因此,蛇类即使在低强度下也很容易受到人类人口增长的影响。因此,预计到 2050 年非洲人口将翻一番,与其他类群相比,蛇类很可能会受到不成比例的威胁。在此,我们对三种人口增长情景下,蛇类分布与人类人口密度目前和未来的重叠情况进行了量化。我们发现,到 2050 年,平均 71% 的受保护蛇类分布区将与每平方公里 10 人或更多人居住的区域重叠,比 2020 年增加 22%。此外,大部分分布在高人口密度地区的最不关注物种数量将增加一倍以上,这可能会在未来几十年增加受威胁物种的数量。我们的研究结果呼吁立即针对人们对蛇的看法和恐惧采取政策行动,并将蛇直接纳入发展和保护计划,以减少未来非洲城市扩张的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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The fear factor—Snakes in Africa might be at an alarming extinction risk

Snakes in Africa are responsible for over 20,000 deaths annually, their indiscriminate killing. As a result, snakes are vulnerable to human population increases even at low intensities. Thus, the predicted doubling of Africa's population by 2050 is likely to pose a disproportionate threat to snakes compared to other taxa. Here we quantify the current and future overlap of snake distributions and human population density under three scenarios of population growth. We find that by 2050, on average, 71% of snake ranges of conservation concern will overlap with areas occupied by ten or more people per km2, a 22% increase from 2020. In addition, the number of Least Concern species with most of their range within areas with high human population density will more than double, likely increasing the number of threatened species over the next decades. Our results call for immediate policy action targeting people's perceptions and fears of snakes, and incorporating snakes directly into development and conservation plans to reduce the impact of future urban expansions across Africa.

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来源期刊
Conservation Letters
Conservation Letters BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION-
CiteScore
13.50
自引率
2.40%
发文量
70
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Conservation Letters is a reputable scientific journal that is devoted to the publication of both empirical and theoretical research that has important implications for the conservation of biological diversity. The journal warmly invites submissions from various disciplines within the biological and social sciences, with a particular interest in interdisciplinary work. The primary aim is to advance both pragmatic conservation objectives and scientific knowledge. Manuscripts are subject to a rapid communication schedule, therefore they should address current and relevant topics. Research articles should effectively communicate the significance of their findings in relation to conservation policy and practice.
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