圣保罗大都会区(MRSP)的交通宏观可达性

João Augusto Dunck Dalosto, P. Pérez-Martínez
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摘要

本研究旨在分析2017年圣保罗大都市区(MRSP)的宏观可达性。根据地铁始发站和目的地调查(2017年)的数据,进行了描述性分析,并建立了广义线性模型(GLM)。样本在选择从居住地出发的旅行时进行了处理,并进行了地域细分,从而验证了中心性在 RMSP 区域分析中的影响。结果表明,公路运输基础设施的地域覆盖面很广,而铁路运输基础设施则集中在 RMSP 的中心。研究发现,离中心越近,个体交通工具的使用率越高,而离中心越远,公共交通工具的使用率越高。统计模型显示,欧几里得距离(4.3 分钟/公里)、旅行中使用的交通工具数量(8.1 分钟/交通工具)和选择的第一种交通工具在统计意义上是重要的相关预测因素(公共汽车的平均持续时间最长,其次是铁路运输)。单个交通方式在宏观可达性方面具有最大优势,因为车辆进入和使用交通方式后的位移(微观可达性)所用时间较少。此外,它们不依赖于车辆换乘,在旅行过程中速度更快。由此得出的结论是,对轨道交通的投资将为公共交通的固定用户提供更好的环境条 件,减少微观可达性时间,缩短旅行时间,并有可能与个别交通工具形成竞争。
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Transport macro accessibility at the Metropolitan Region of São Paulo (MRSP)
This study aims to analyze the macro accessibility of the Metropolitan Region of São Paulo (MRSP) in 2017. Based on data from the Metro Origin and Destination Survey (2017), a descriptive analysis was carried out and a Generalized Linear Model (GLM) was developed. The sample received treatment for the selection of trips departing from the residence and with territorial disaggregation levels that allow verifying the effect of centrality in the regional analysis of RMSP. The results show that the road transport infrastructure has vast territorial coverage, while rail transport infrastructure is concentrated in the center of RMSP. It was found that the closer to the center, the greater the use of individual transport and, the further away, the greater the use of public transport. Statistical modeling showed that Euclidean distance (4.3 min/km), the number of modes used in travel (8.1 min/mode), and the first mode chosen are statistically significant and relevant predictors (with bus having the longest average duration, followed by rail transport). Individual modes obtained the greatest advantage in macro accessibility since less time is used for vehicle access and less time for displacement after transport use (micro accessibility). Also, they do not depend on vehicle transfers and are faster during travel. It is concluded that investment in rail transport will allow better environmental conditions for captive users of public transport, with a decrease in micro accessibility time and a decrease in travel duration, with potential competition with individual modes.
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