高铁对航空的替代效应下中国城市网络的时空格局

Xueguang Ma, Ce Jiang, Zhao Zhang
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摘要

高速铁路(高铁)和航空在形成城市联系和构建城市网络方面发挥了重要作用。然而,随着高铁规模的不断扩大,二者之间的竞争也日趋激烈,在部分地区高铁已逐渐取代航空。因此,我们基于高铁流量和航空流量数据,通过构建高铁-航空复合网络,描绘了2017年至2021年中国城市网络的时空演化格局,然后通过划分四类区段,确定了高铁对航空替代的空间范围和网络形态,并分析了这种替代效应的影响因素。结果表明,高铁-航空复合网络的空间形态呈 "纺锤形",且呈右斜分布;高铁完全或部分替代航空的空间范围主要分布在以京沪广蓉为顶点的 "菱形 "空间;0-770 公里是高铁的绝对优势距离范围。此外,复合网络的规模扩张、高铁在城市网络塑造中的比较优势、个人对高铁的出行偏好、城市间的距离和城市属性是高铁替代航空的主要因素。
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Spatio-Temporal Pattern of China’s Urban Network Under the Substitution Effect of High-Speed Rail on Aviation
High-speed rail (HSR) and aviation have played an important role in shaping urban connections and building urban networks. However, with the continuous expansion of the scale of HSR, the competition between the two has become increasingly fierce, and HSR has gradually been substituted for aviation in some regions. Therefore, based on HSR flow and airline flow data, we depicted the spatio-temporal evolution pattern of China’s urban network from 2017 to 2021 by constructing the HSR–aviation composite network, then identified the spatial scope and network form of the substitution of HSR for aviation through classifying the four types of segments, and analyzed the influencing factors of this substitution effect. The results showed that the spatial form of the HSR–aviation composite network is “spindle-shaped” and has a right-skewness distribution; the spatial scope of HSR completely or partially substituting for aviation is mainly distributed in the “diamond-shaped” space with Beijing–Shanghai–Guangzhou–Chengdu as the apex; and 0–770 km is the absolute advantage distance range of HSR. Moreover, the scale expansion of the composite network, the comparative advantages of HSR in shaping the urban network, the personal travel preference for HSR, and the distance between cities and city attributes are the main factors that make HSR a substitute for aviation.
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