印度尼西亚证券交易所 LQ45 指数中赢家-输家组合异常和规模效应异常的调查

M. Miswanto, Anisah Azzahra Ananda Putri
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摘要

本研究调查了2015-2020年间印度尼西亚证券交易所(IDX)LQ45股票的赢家-输家组合异常和规模效应异常。采用配对样本t检验(参数)和Wilcoxon检验(非参数)对样本进行检验。样本选择采用非概率抽样和目的性抽样方法。符合样本标准的公司股票为 26 只。主要数据采用累计异常收益率和市值作为公司股票规模的代理变量。通过将数据分为两个时期:形成期和检验期,观察赢家输家效应的异常现象。这两个时期包括短期和长期。短期为 6 个月,长期为 12 个月。第一个发现表明,胜负股票组合的平均累积异常收益率(CAR)出现了逆转。在测试期间,平均异常回报率转为下降,许多平均异常回报率变成负值。而在测试期内,输家股票组合的平均累积异常收益率则逆转为正值。二是规模效应导致的赢家-输家股票组合平均 CAR 值逆转。事实证明,小赢家-输家投资组合的表现优于大赢家投资组合。这种逆转既发生在短期,也发生在长期。这一发现表明,行为金融学可以解释这种市场反常现象,并有助于投资者制定获得反常回报的策略。
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Investigation of winner-loser portfolio anomalies and size effect anomalies in LQ45 index, Indonesia stock exchange
This study investigates the anomalies of winner-loser portfolios and anomalies of size effect on LQ45 stocks in the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX), period 2015-2020. The paired sample t-test (parametric) and Wilcoxon test (non-parametric) are used to test samples. Sample selection is carried out using the non-probability and purposive sampling methods. The shares of companies that met the sample criteria were 26. The primary data used cumulative abnormal returns and market capitalization as proxies for a company's stock size. The anomaly of the winner-loser effect phenomenon is observed by dividing the data into two periods: the formation period and the testing period. The periods are both short-term and long-term. The short-term period is six months, and the long-term is 12 months. The first finding shows reversals in average cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) on the winner-loser stock portfolio. In the testing period, the average CARs were turned down, and many average CARs became negative. Portfolio loser in the testing period, the average CARs reversed to positive. The second is a reversal in average CARs in winner-loser stock portfolios caused by the size effect. The performance of small winner-loser portfolios is proven to outperform big winners' portfolios. The reversal occurs in both the short-term and long-term. This finding suggests that behavioral finance can explain this market anomaly, and it is helpful for investors in coming up with strategies to get abnormal returns.
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来源期刊
International Journal of Management and Sustainability
International Journal of Management and Sustainability Business, Management and Accounting-Business, Management and Accounting (all)
CiteScore
1.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
15
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