COVID-19 影响分析:采用混合模型法评估非洲的商品、服务、制造和教育部门

A. Langat, John Kamwele Mutinda, S. Mwalili, L. Kazembe
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摘要

COVID-19 的全球冲击带来了不可预见的混乱,对基本商品、服务、制造和教育等部门造成了重大影响。非洲国家以其独特的社会经济织锦为特征,站在一个耐人寻味的关头--既面临系统性的脆弱性,又表现出令人钦佩的适应能力。本研究深入探讨了这些国家在全球经济动荡期间所经历的多方面影响。我们的探索以图表分析为支撑,研究了需求动态的变化,尤其是生活必需品和奢侈品的对比。大流行病引发了恐慌性购买等现象,同时导致经济放缓,重塑了消费模式。服务业的情况也是两极分化:传统服务业面临挫折,而数字服务业则实现了指数级增长。在制造业,供应链中断与必需品生产激增形成鲜明对比。随着全球贸易面临前所未有的挑战,最不发达国家(LDCs)出现了明显的向本地替代品倾斜的趋势。这一趋势表明,在生活成本不断攀升的情况下,最不发达国家既要有适应能力,也有可能转向自力更生。此外,技术,特别是人工智能(AI)的影响日益扩大,为非洲教育提出了一个转型阶段,暗示着教育的可及性和质量将得到提高。总之,本文以非洲的独特经验和教训为中心,简明而全面地阐述了 COVID-19 大流行病对经济的影响。
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COVID-19 Impact Analysis: Assessing African Sectors - Commodity, Service, Manufacturing, and Education using Mixed Model Approach
The global onslaught of COVID-19 brought about unforeseen disruptions, significantly imprinting on sectors like essential goods, services, manufacturing, and education. African nations, characterized by theirdistinct socio-economic tapestries, stood at an intriguing juncture—facing both systemic vulnerabilities and demonstrating admirable adaptability. This research delves into the multifaceted impacts experienced by these nations during the global economic turmoil.Our exploration, bolstered by graphical analyses, examines shifts in demand dynamics, particularly contrasting essential and luxury goods. The pandemic inducedphenomena like panic buying, while simultaneously causing economic slowdowns, reshaping consumption patterns. The services sector’s narrative is bifurcated: while traditional services faced setbacks, digitalcounterparts witnessed exponential growth. In manufacturing, disrupted supply chains contrasted with surges in essential goods production. With global trade facing unprecedented challenges, a noticeable tilt towards local alternatives emerges in Least Developed Countries (LDCs). This trend signals both adaptability and a potential pivot towards self-reliance amidst escalating living costs. Moreover, the burgeoning influence oftechnology, particularly Artificial Intelligence (AI), proposes a transformative phase for African education, hinting at enhanced accessibility and quality. However, this optimism is tempered by challenges such as infrastructural gaps and the imperative for improved digital literacy.In Conclusion, this paper provides a concise yet encompassing perspective on the economic reverberations of the COVID-19 pandemic, centering on the unique experiences and lessons from the African landscape.
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