从动态综合气候经济(DICE)到复原力综合气候与经济模式(RIMCE)

O. Bertolami, Carmen Diego Gonçalves
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引用次数: 0

摘要

人类世所面临的一系列风险的出现提出了新的问题和行动要求。气候变化可以被视为最严重的世界风险:它反映了人类活动的影响,而人类活动又助长了多种风险,它加剧了自然现象造成的灾害和灾难,最终可能威胁到地球上人类的生存。人类世的风险是治理和地方行动的问题。在所谓风险社会的背景下,对当地社区应对气候变化风险影响的复原力进行了反思性分析。提出了气候与经济复原力综合模型(RIMCE)。该模式以社会经济观点为基础,涉及民族国家,重点关注地方社区、公民责任、权利和行为,并通过社会资本和团结网络具体化。这种应对气候危机的地方合作是征收新税--复原力社会税的动机。通过这一思考,我们希望能够帮助人们理解与人为风险相关的经济联系,提出改变行为的标准,并倡导公众参与确定地方行动,以恢复地球系统的最佳运行条件。
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From a dynamic integrated climate economy (DICE) to a resilience integrated model of climate and economy (RIMCE)
The emergence of cascaded risks we face at the Anthropocene raises new problems and demands for action. Climate change can be seen as the most critical world risk: it reflects the effect of human actions that promote several risks, it potentiates disasters and catastrophes caused by natural phenomena, and it can, ultimately, threaten human survival on the planet. Risks in the Anthropocene are a matter of governance and local actions. A reflexive analysis, in the context of the so-called risk societies, and of resilient local communities to cope with the impact of risks of climate change is carried out. A Resilience Integrated Model of Climate and Economy (RIMCE) is proposed. The model is based on the idea of a social economic view, which involves nation-states that focus on local communities, citizen responsibility, rights, and behavior, materialized through networks of social capital and solidarity. This local cooperation to cope with climate crises, is the motivation for a new tax, the resilience social tax. With this reflection, we hope to contribute to the understanding of the economic ties attached to anthropogenic risks, proposing criteria to change behaviors, and advocating public participation in defining local actions to restore the optimal operating conditions of the Earth System.
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