Lymphocyte Count Derived Polygenic Score and Interindividual Variability in CD4 T-cell Recovery in Response to Antiretroviral Therapy

Access to safe and effective antiretroviral therapy (ART) is a cornerstone in the global response to the HIV pandemic. Among people living with HIV, there is considerable interindividual variability in absolute CD4 T-cell recovery following initiation of virally suppressive ART. The contribution of host genetics to this variability is not well understood. We explored the contribution of a polygenic score which was derived from large, publicly available summary statistics for absolute lymphocyte count from individuals in the general population (PGSlymph) due to a lack of publicly available summary statistics for CD4 T-cell count. We explored associations with baseline CD4 T-cell count prior to ART initiation (n=4959) and change from baseline to week 48 on ART (n=3274) among treatment-naïve participants in prospective, randomized ART studies of the AIDS Clinical Trials Group. We separately examined an African-ancestry-derived and a European-ancestry-derived PGSlymph, and evaluated their performance across all participants, and also in the African and European ancestral groups separately. Multivariate models that included PGSlymph, baseline plasma HIV-1 RNA, age, sex, and 15 principal components (PCs) of genetic similarity explained ~26-27% of variability in baseline CD4 T-cell count, but PGSlymph accounted for <1% of this variability. Models that also included baseline CD4 T-cell count explained ~7-9% of variability in CD4 T-cell count increase on ART, but PGSlymph accounted for <1% of this variability. In univariate analyses, PGSlymph was not significantly associated with baseline or change in CD4 T-cell count. Among individuals of African ancestry, the African PGSlymph term in the multivariate model was significantly associated with change in CD4 T-cell count while not significant in the univariate model. When applied to lymphocyte count in a general medical biobank population (Penn Medicine BioBank), PGSlymph explained ~6-10% of variability in multivariate models (including age, sex, and PCs) but only ~1% in univariate models. In summary, a lymphocyte count PGS derived from the general population was not consistently associated with CD4 T-cell recovery on ART. Nonetheless, adjusting for clinical covariates is quite important when estimating such polygenic effects.