在基于原则的方法中,消极性重要吗?来自英国叙述性报道的证据

Hesham Bassyouny, Michael Machokoto
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摘要

目的 本文旨在研究英国年度报告叙述中的负面语气与未来业绩之间的关联。在英国基于原则的方法下,由于报告制度比美国基于规则的方法更加灵活,管理者倾向于将叙述性报告的基调向上倾斜。因此,监管机构未强制要求的任何负面信息披露都传达了有关公司前景的可信信息。 设计/方法/途径 本文使用了 2010 年至 2019 年英国富时全股票非金融公司的样本。作者使用基于 Loughran 和 McDonald(2011 年)的词表(LM)的文本分析方法来衡量英国年度报告中的负面基调。 研究结果 研究结果表明,负面基调与未来业绩之间存在显著的负相关关系。此外,我们的进一步分析表明,只有年度信息披露中高管部分的负面基调与未来业绩有显著关联。总之,本研究表明,在以原则为基础的方法下,负面性确实很重要,可以用作未来业绩的指标。 原创性/价值 有文献认为,在基于原则的方法下,只有积极性才有能力影响公司的结果,与此不同,作者提供了新的经验证据,表明在英国,消极性也很重要,可以用作未来业绩的指标。此外,据作者所知,这是第一项确定年度报告中哪个部分对公司未来业绩更有参考价值的研究。
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Does negativity matter under the principle-based approach? Evidence from narrative reporting in the UK
Purpose This paper aims to investigate the association between negative tone in annual report narratives and future performance in the UK context. Under the principle-based approach in the UK, managers tend to bias the tone of narrative reports upward, as the reporting regime is more flexible than the rule-based approach in the USA. Consequently, any negative disclosure not mandated by regulators conveys credible information about a firm’s prospects. Design/methodology/approach This paper uses a sample of UK FTSE all-share non-financial companies from 2010 to 2019. The authors use the textual-analysis approach based on Loughran and McDonald (2011)’s wordlist (LM) to measure the negative tone in UK annual reports. Findings The results show a significant negative association between negative tone and future performance. Moreover, our further analyses suggest that only the negativity in the executive section of the annual disclosures correlates significantly with future performance. In summary, this study suggests that negativity does matter under the principle-based approach and can be used as an indicator of future performance. Originality/value In contrast to the literature arguing that only positivity has the power to affect a firm’s outcomes under the principle-based approach, the authors provide new empirical evidence suggesting that negativity also matters within the UK context and can be used as an indicator for future performance. Also, to the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study to identify which section of the annual report is more informative about a firm’s future performance.
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