中东核和平

David Mickelson
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文提出并反驳了一系列反对沙特核化的论点,并通过围绕新现实主义的华尔兹概念展开论证,认为如果德黑兰也进行核化,沙特可以在稳定中东局势的同时实现其外交政策目标。报告分析了一些关键细节,如核化对海湾地区直接范式的影响、在其他著名伊斯兰国家中引发核连锁反应的可能性,以及核化对沙特与美国关系的影响。
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Nuclear Peace in the Middle East
This paper raises and refutes a number of counterarguments against Saudi nuclearization, and through an argument centred around Waltzian conceptions of neorealism, argues that it could stabilize the Middle East whilst fulfilling KSA’s foreign policy goals in the event Tehran nuclearizes as well. It analyzes key details, such as the effect of nuclearization on the Gulf’s immediate paradigm, the possibility of a nuclear cascade amongst other prominent Islamic nations, as well as the consequences of nuclearization on Saudi-American relations.
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