Changes in river systems and relevant hydrological responses in the Yangtze River Delta, China

River systems play an important role in the development of human society. However, they have been significantly affected by human activities, reducing the capacity for water supply, flood regulation, and aquatic ecosystem services. Identifying changes in river systems and hydrological responses to these changes is crucial for regional water management. In this study, based on the data derived from topographic maps of the 1960s, 1980s, and 2010s, we comprehensively quantified changes in river systems of the Yangtze River Delta (YRD), China. The results show that the density of rivers and the proportion of water surface decreased over the past several decades, while changes in the evolutionary coefficient of rivers and the ratio of area to length of rivers exhibited clear spatial differences. Low-grade rivers in urbanized areas have declined severely, leading to a simplification of river structure. Furthermore, the hydrological response to changes in the river system was revealed in the Taihu Lake Plain, an area of the YRD with a plain river network. A longitudinal functional connectivity index (LFCI) was adopted to assess the hydrological dynamics in water level, and it was found to have an increasing trend. In addition, the specific storage capacity (SSC) and the specific regulation capacity (SRC) were established to reveal the impact of changes in the structure and connectivity of the river system on the regulation and storage capacity, and both indicators exhibited a downward trend. Simulations based on the MIKE 11 model show that the reduction of tributaries across the region can result in an earlier peak timing and higher peak water level. Our results can support the development of river system protection and flood adaptation strategies in the delta plains.