重新审视发展中国家金融包容性与经济增长之间的长期动态关系:CS-ARDL 方法提供的证据

IF 1.3 Q3 ECONOMICS Journal of Financial Economic Policy Pub Date : 2023-11-22 DOI:10.1108/jfep-07-2023-0186
Tariq Ahmad Mir, R. Gopinathan, D.P. Priyadarshi Joshi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的 本研究旨在分析发展中国家金融包容性与经济增长之间的长期动态关系。 设计/方法/途径 本研究根据联合国开发计划署的方法,为 53 个发展中国家制定了综合金融包容性指数。作者使用第二代单位根检验、协整技术和一种称为横截面增强自回归分布滞后(CS-ARDL)的高级动态共同相关效应估计模型来检验变量之间的长期动态关系。 结果 检验证实了斜率异质性和横截面依赖性的存在。第二代面板单位根检验表明,所选变量在初差时是静止的。自举维斯特伦德协整结果表明,变量在长期内是协整的。CS-ARDL 估计得出的结论是,在选定的发展中国家,金融包容性能积极提高人均国内生产总值。通过增强均值组估计进行的稳健性检验验证了这一结论。 独创性/价值 本研究有三个重要贡献:第一,它使用 53 个发展中国家的面板数据中的 10 个变量构建了一个全面的金融包容性指数;第二,通过应用第二代单位根检验,解释了面板数据潜在的横截面依赖性和斜率异质性;第三,本研究使用动态共同相关效应估计模型(CS-ARDL)来检验变量之间的长期动态关系。
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Revisiting long-run dynamics between financial inclusion and economic growth in developing nations: evidence from CS-ARDL approach
Purpose This study aims to analyze the long-run dynamic relationship between financial inclusion and economic growth for developing nations. Design/methodology/approach This study develops a comprehensive financial inclusion index based on the UNDP methodology for 53 developing nations. The authors use second-generation unit root tests, cointegration techniques and an advanced dynamic common correlated effects estimator model called cross-sectional augmented autoregressive distributed lags (CS-ARDL) to examine long-run dynamics among variables. Findings The tests confirm the presence of slope-heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependency. The second-generation panel unit root tests show the chosen variables are stationary at first difference. The bootstrap Westerlund cointegration result shows the variables are cointegrated in the long run. The CS-ARDL estimates conclude that financial inclusion positively enhances gross domestic product per capita in selected developing countries. The robustness check through augmented mean group estimation validates the findings. Originality/value The study makes three important contributions: first, it constructs a comprehensive financial inclusion index using 10 variables for a panel of 53 developing nations; second, the potential cross-section dependence and slope heterogeneity of panel data have been accounted for by applying the second-generation unit root tests; third, the study uses the dynamic common correlated effects estimator model (CS-ARDL) to examine long-run dynamics among variables.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.80
自引率
8.30%
发文量
13
期刊介绍: The Journal of Financial Economic Policy publishes high quality peer reviewed research on financial economic policy issues. The journal is devoted to the advancement of the understanding of the entire spectrum of financial policy and control issues and their interactions to economic phenomena. Economic and financial phenomena involve complex trade-offs and linkages between various types of risk factors and variables of interest to policy makers and market participants alike. Market participants such as economic policy makers, regulators, banking and competition supervisors, corporations and financial institutions, require timely and robust answers to the contemporary and emerging policy questions. In turn, such answers require thorough input by the academics, policy makers and practitioners alike. The Journal of Financial Economic Policy provides the forum to satisfy this need. The journal publishes and invites concise papers to enable a prompt response to current and emerging policy affairs.
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