Zeeshan Khan, Syed Muhammad Faraz Raza, Kangyin Dong, Ilham Haouas
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引用次数: 0
摘要
本研究探讨了汇款(REM)流入是否会导致荷兰病,以及它如何影响金融发展(FD)。根据世界银行 1990 年至 2019 年的最新数据,样本包括全球最大的汇款接收国,即中国、埃及、印度、墨西哥和菲律宾。本研究采用了三种计量经济学模型来评估 REM 流入对 FD 的影响。利用横截面增强自回归分布滞后(CS-ARDL)估计技术,我们发现 REM 流入阻碍了金融发展,并引发了金融部门的荷兰病问题。此外,估计结果发现,在所有模型中,经济增长、全球化、人力资本和金融风险对金融发展都有积极影响,无论是短期还是长期影响。此外,REM、人力资本和金融风险之间的相互作用也会促进外向型发展。该研究表明,稳健的资源流动和价格调整过程可以解决外来直接投资恶化的危险,并强调荷兰病对最主要的外来直接投资接受者的影响。
How Do Remittance Inflows Cause the Dutch Disease in the Financial Sector? The Role of Financial Risk and Human Capital
This research examines whether the remittance (REM) inflows cause Dutch disease and how it affects financial development (FD). The sample consists of the top global REM recipients, namely China, Egypt, India, Mexico and the Philippines, based on the latest World Bank data from 1990 to 2019. This study employs three econometric models to evaluate the REM inflows’ impact on FD. Using the cross-sectionally augmented autoregressive distributed lag (CS-ARDL) estimation technique, we reveal that the REM inflows have impeded FD and have triggered Dutch disease issues in the financial sectors. Furthermore, the estimation found a positive effect of economic growth, globalization, human capital and financial risks on FD across all models, both in the short and long runs. In addition, the interplay among the REM, human capital, and financial risks also facilitates FD. The study suggests that robust resource flows and price adjustment processes tackle the hazard of deteriorating FD and emphasize the Dutch disease’s effects on the top REM recipients.