利用地理信息系统(GIS)分析东陆奥区沿海的罗布泊洪水风险

Nanda Riska Devy, Syamsul Bahri Agus, S. B. Susilo
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摘要

海平面上升引起的潮汛是一种自然灾害,可能会对沿海地区造成潜在威胁,尤其是在印度尼西亚。潮汐洪水严重威胁着沿海地区,尤其是东陆武县。环境因素和东陆奥郡沿海地区的快速发展影响了环境的脆弱性和复杂性。本研究旨在确定潮汐洪水风险等级的空间分布,并预测 2050 年卢武铁木尔区海岸最高潮时的潮汐洪水淹没情况。这项工作是因海平面上升而采取的减灾战略的一部分。建模方法涉及地理信息系统(GIS)数据叠加,并整合了 28 年(1992-2020 年)的 DEM、HHWL 和 SLR 数据。研究结果表明,所研究的沿海地区与潮汐洪水有关的风险很高,其中最靠近海岸线的地方风险最高。与此相反,风险随着远离海岸线而降低。除此之外,模型结果还估计,2050 年,洪水淹没高度将达到 1570 米。每个分区受潮汐洪水淹没影响的面积都在增加。由于海水入侵,洪水将沿海岸线均匀扩散并向内陆延伸。与其他土地用途相比,以生产用地为主的沿海地区(如池塘和农业区)预计将受到最广泛的淹没影响。强调有必要采取缓解措施,将未来潮汐洪水可能造成的影响降至最低。
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Analysis of Rob Flood Risk on The Coast of East Luwu District Using GIS
Rob floods caused by rising sea levels are a natural disaster that can potentially threaten coastal areas, especially in Indonesia. Tidal floods seriously threaten coastal areas, especially East Luwu Regency. Environmental factors and rapid growth on the coast of East Luwu Regency influence the vulnerability and complexity of the environment. This research aims to identify the spatial distribution of tidal flood risk levels and predict tidal flood inundation in 2050 at the highest tide on the coast of Luwu Timur District. This effort is part of a disaster mitigation strategy due to rising sea levels. The modeling approach involves Geographic Information Systems (GIS) overlaying data and integrating DEM, HHWL, and SLR data for 28 years (1992-2020). The research results show that the coastal areas studied have a high risk related to tidal flooding, with locations closest to the coastline being at the highest risk. In contrast, the risk decreases as you move away from the coastline. Apart from that, the modeling results also estimate that in 2050, inundation will reach a height of 1,570 meters. The area affected by tidal flood inundation has increased in each sub-district. The inundation will spread evenly along the coastline and extend inland due to seawater intrusion. Coastal areas dominated by production land, such as ponds and agricultural areas, are predicted to experience the most extensive impact of inundation compared to other land uses. Emphasizes the need for mitigation efforts to minimize the impacts that may be caused by tidal floods in the future.
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