数字经济中污染与碳减排的协同效应:来自中国城市的准实验证据

Bibo Yin, Ping Kuang, Xinhui Deng
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摘要

导言:数字经济在实现空气污染物和碳排放协同减排方面发挥着至关重要的作用:采用基于超效率松弛的不良产出模型,系统计算空气污染物和碳排放协同治理(ESACG)的效率。本研究以国家大数据综合试验区建设为准自然实验,采用差分法(DID)、倾向得分匹配法(DID)、量化DID法和广义随机森林模型,实证检验了数字经济对ESACG的影响及其异质性:1)数字经济通过在源头管理上优化产业结构、在过程控制上提高能源利用效率、在终端阻断上推动绿色技术创新,明显改善了ESACG。人才的数字素养和数字金融支持增强了其提升效果,但数字基础设施的提升效果并不明显。2) 数字经济对跨区域和区域示范区的 ESACG 有明显的促进作用,但对先行区的 ESACG 有抑制作用。在大数据基础设施一体化开发区,数字经济对 ESACG 的影响不明显。3) 在第 25 到 90 个量级之间,数字经济对 ESACG 的影响呈不对称的倒 U 型,在第 10 个量级上没有明显影响。在经济发展和技术创新较好的城市,数字经济对 ESACG 的贡献更为显著:有必要继续推进现有试验区的建设,稳步扩大试验区的覆盖范围,并区分利用污染减排和碳减排的经验,制定区域协同治理战略。
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The effect of synergistic pollution and carbon reduction in the digital economy: Quasi-experimental evidence from Chinese cities
Introduction: The digital economy plays a crucial role in achieving synergistic reduction in air pollutants and carbon emissions.Methods: A super-efficiency slack-based model with undesirable outputs was applied to systematically calculate the efficiency of synergistic air pollutants and carbon emissions governance (ESACG). This study used the difference-in-differences (DID), propensity score matching-DID, quantile DID methods and generalized random forest model to empirically test the impact and its heterogeneity of the digital economy on the ESACG, with the establishment of the National Big Data Comprehensive Pilot Zone as a quasi-natural experiment.Results: 1) The digital economy significantly improved the ESACG by optimizing industrial structure in source management, improving energy utilization efficiency in process control, and promoting green technological innovation in end blocking. The digital literacy of talent and digital financial support strengthened its enhancing effect, but the digital infrastructure was insignificant. 2) The digital economy significantly enhanced the ESACG in the cross-regional and regional demonstration zones but inhibited it in the pioneering zones. Its impact on the ESACG in big data infrastructure-integrated development zones was insignificant. 3) Between the 25th and 90th quantiles, there was an asymmetric inverted U-shaped influence of the digital economy on the ESACG, with no discernible impact at the 10th quantile. In cities with better economic development and technological innovation, the contribution of the digital economy to the ESACG was more significant.Discussion: It is necessary to continuously advance the construction of existing pilot zones, steadily expand their coverage, and differentiate between harnessing the experiences of reducing pollution and carbon emissions to formulate strategies for synergistic regional governance.
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