俄罗斯各地区的移民平衡:基于当前生命统计数据和 2010 年及 2020-2021 年人口普查调查数据的估计值

Konstantin Chernyshev
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引用次数: 0

摘要

主题本文讨论了在俄罗斯联邦实施当前移民登记和开展人口普查的相关问题。目的。文章旨在对俄罗斯联邦各主体移民增长(流失)的官方指标进行批判性分析。方法。在研究中,我使用了统计研究方法。结果。文章确定了俄罗斯移民相对增长和相对流失率最高的地区。人口普查显示,大多数移民增长较高的地区低估了移民数量,而在人口大幅减少的地区,移民损失被低估。结论根据人口平衡对移民增长进行估算,可以发现低估的移民人数,并更准确地确定捐助国和受援国地区。
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Migration balance in Russian Regions: Estimates based on current vital statistics and 2010 and 2020–2021 census surveys data
Subject. This article discusses the issues related to the implementation of current registration of migration and the conduct of population censuses in the Russian Federation. Objectives. The article aims to conduct a critical analysis of the official indicators of migration growth (loss) in the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. Methods. For the study, I used statistical research methods. Results. The article identifies the regions of Russia with the highest relative migration growth and relative migration loss. For the majority of regions characterized by high migration growth, the census showed an underestimation of migration, and in regions where there is an intensive decline in the population, an underestimation of migration loss was revealed. Conclusions. An estimate of migration growth based on the balance of the population makes it possible to identify the undercount of migration, as well as to more accurately identify donor and recipient regions.
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