解读 COVID-19 进展:全面比较高级深度学习方法,实现精确预判

Muhammad Usman Tariq, Shuhaida Binti Ismail
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摘要

COVID-19 大流行对阿拉伯联合酋长国(UAE)产生了重大影响,因此需要有效、准确的预测工具来为公共卫生政策和战略提供信息。本研究对用于预测阿联酋 COVID-19 病例的高级深度学习模型进行了比较分析。我们研究了长短期记忆(LSTM)、双向 LSTM、卷积神经网络(CNN)、CNN-LSTM、多层感知器和循环神经网络(RNN)的性能。使用包含确诊病例、人口信息和相关社会经济指标的综合数据集对这些模型进行了训练和评估。使用贝叶斯优化器进一步优化模型,并在模型优化前后进行比较。我们在 COVID-19 数据集上使用了预测和透视分析技术。我们的研究目标是找出预测该地区 COVID-19 病例的最准确、最可靠的模型。 研究结果证明了这些深度学习技术在预测 COVID-19 病例方面的有效性,每个模型都表现出了不同程度的准确性和精确性。对模型性能的全面、严格评估揭示了最适合阿联酋具体情况的架构。本研究为应用先进的深度学习模型准确、及时地预测 COVID-19 病例提供了宝贵的见解,为抗击大流行病的持续努力做出了贡献。研究发现,RNN 模型在未进行任何优化的情况下表现最佳。这些发现对公共卫生决策具有重要意义,使当局能够制定有针对性的数据驱动干预措施,以遏制病毒传播并减轻其对阿联酋人口的影响。这证明了深度学习算法在处理复杂数据集和进行准确预测方面的潜力,而这正是提高专业和医疗环境准确性的宝贵能力。
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Unraveling COVID-19 Progression: A Comprehensive Com-parison of Advanced Deep Learning Methods for Precise Pre-dictions
The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly impacted the United Arab Emirates (UAE), necessitating effective and accurate forecasting tools to inform public health policies and strategies. This study presents a comparative analysis of advanced deep-learning models for predicting COVID-19 cases in the UAE. We investigate the performance of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Bi-directional LSTM, Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), CNN-LSTM, Multilayer perceptron, and Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN). The models are trained and evaluated using a comprehensive dataset of confirmed cases, demographic information, and relevant socio-economic indicators. The models are further optimized using a Bayesian optimizer and comparison is performed before and after the optimization of models. We have used predictive and perspective analytics on the COVID-19 dataset. Our research goal is to identify the most accurate and reliable model for forecasting COVID-19 cases in the region. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of these deep learning techniques in predicting COVID-19 cases, with each model exhibiting varying levels of accuracy and precision. A thorough and rigorous evaluation of the models' performances reveals the most suitable architecture for the UAE's specific context. This study contributes to the ongoing efforts to combat the pandemic by providing valuable insights into the application of advanced deep-learning models for accurate and timely COVID-19 case predictions. It was found that the RNN model performed the best without any optimization. The findings have significant implications for public health decision-making, enabling authorities to develop targeted and data-driven interventions to curb the spread of the virus and mitigate its impact on the UAE's population. This demonstrates the potential of deep learning algorithms in handling complex datasets and making accurate predictions which is a valuable capability to enhance accuracy in professional and healthcare environments.
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