气候变化的影响。罗马尼亚的气温变化趋势

Laurențiu Ciornei, L. Udrea, P. Munteanu, Petruta-Simona Simion, Victor Petcu
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摘要

摘要 在过去的三十年里,罗马尼亚的平均气温上升了 1.5 摄氏度以上,尽管罗马尼亚已 开始向清洁经济转型,关闭了一些大型资源消耗和废物产生企业的大门。这一事实证明,在罗马尼亚,造成环境退化和气候变暖的污染原因仍然存在。在这种情况下,为了找出导致平均气温升高的主要原因,本研究将重点放在公路运输和畜牧业部门,假定从这两个部门清除的污染物和废物可以证明这种演变是合理的。林业部门也在考虑之列,因为众所周知,林业部门有能力平衡和促进应对气候变化的不良影响。此外,这项研究还旨在分析公共政策,并强调国际上采取的措施,这些措施可以给我国的决策者带来启发。考虑到所有这些因素,目前的分析表明与道路运输部门存在因果关系,这种情况的部分原因可能是对在这方面采取的公共措施的某些担忧。这项研究将继续进行,并纳入其他潜在因素,以全面了解当地的具体情况,这些情况是实现假定目标的条件。
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The Effects of Climate Change. Trends Regarding the Evolution of Temperature in Romania
Abstract Average temperatures in Romania have risen by more than 1.5 degrees Celsius in the last thirty years, although the transition to a clean economy began with the closure of the gates of large resource-consuming and waste-generating enterprises. This fact confirms that there are enough polluting causes left in Romania that have contributed to the degradation of the environment and climate warming. In such a context, in an attempt to identify the main causes that led to the increase in average temperatures, the present study focuses on the road transportation and animal husbandry sectors assuming that pollutants and waste removed from them could justify this evolution. The forestry sector has also been taken into account, and its ability to balance and contribute to combating the undesirable effects of climate change is well known. In addition, the study aimed at analysing public policies and highlighting the measures that have been adopted at the international level that could inspire the decision makers in our country. Given all these elements, the current analysis indicates the existence of a causal link with the road transportation sector, a situation which could be partially explained by certain concerns about the public measures adopted in this regard. The study will be continued with the inclusion of other potential elements to gain an overview of the local specificities that condition the achievement of the assumed objectives.
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