发达国家和发展中国家的人口指标趋势:比较研究

Mohammad Badre Alam
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摘要

导言:世界人口似乎在不断增长,预计到 2020 年中期将达到 78 亿,而 2010 年为 70 亿,1998 年为 60 亿,1986 年为 50 亿。发达国家和发展中国家的人口指标趋势似乎没有区别。因此,本研究旨在确定发达国家和发展中国家的人口指标趋势。材料与方法:数据来自世界发展指标(WDI)。这些调查项目具有很高的可比性,因为它们采用类似的抽样方法和问卷调查,旨在估算标准健康指标。结果:印度、马来西亚和以色列的人口在 2015-2020 年间呈上升趋势,而日本的人口在 2015-2020 年间呈下降趋势,但尼泊尔的人口在 2015-2018 年间略有下降,随后呈上升趋势。日本的预期寿命较高,这得益于其特定类型的基因质量(即 DNA 5178 和 ND2-237Met ND 基因型),这些基因型通过保护日本人免受某些成人发病疾病的影响而延长了他们的寿命。结论:印度和尼泊尔等新兴国家的人口不断增长,强调需要更加关注性别均等、医疗保健、教育和资源分配等问题,而日本人口的不断减少则引起了人们对有利生育政策必要性的关注。马来西亚和以色列等发达国家应做好准备,应对与高出生率相关的潜在挑战,如服务需求增加和环境问题。
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Trends of Populations indicators in developed and developing countries: A Comparative Study
INTRODUCTION: The world’s population seems growing, and expected to reach 7.8 billion by mid- 2020, growing from 7 billion in 2010, 6 billion in 1998, and 5 billion in 1986. The average annual growth rate was nearby 1.1% in 2015–2020, which steadily decreased after it peaked at 2.3% in the late 1960.Trends of population indicators between developed and developing countries seems undistinguishable. Therefore, this study aims to identify trends of population’s indicators in developed and developing countries. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data were obtained from World Development Indicators (WDI).These survey programs are highly comparable as they share similar sampling approaches and questionnaires designed to estimate standard health indicators. RESULTS: The populations of India, Malaysia and Israel was in increasing trends from 2015-2020 whereas Japan was on declining trend from 2015 to2020 however, the populations of Nepal was slightly decreasing from 2015 to 2018 and then it is in increasing trends. Life expectancy rate of Japan was high due to their specific type of Gene quality i.e. DNA 5178 and the ND2-237Met ND genotype which help the Japanese live longer by protecting them against some adult-onset diseases. CONCLUSIONS: The growing population in emerging nations like India and Nepal emphasizes the need for increased focus on gender parity, healthcare, education, and resource allocation, while Japan's declining population raises concerns about the need for pro-natal policies. Developed nations like Malaysia and Israel should prepare for the potential challenges associated with high birth rates, such as increased service demand and environmental concerns.
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