收到的汇款会在发达国家和发展中国家引发荷兰病吗?

IF 1.9 Q2 ECONOMICS JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-01-08 DOI:10.1108/jes-09-2023-0496
Faris Alshubiri, Samia Fekir, Billal Chikhi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在考察 2004 年至 2020 年期间 36 个发达国家和发展中国家收到的汇款流入对购买力平价转换系数与市场汇率的价格水平比的影响。本研究对面板数据进行了比较分析,并使用面板最小二乘法、带德里斯科尔-克莱标准误差的固定效应回归、随机效应回归、可行广义最小二乘法和最大似然稳健最小二乘法来克服异质性问题。此外,还采用了两步差分广义矩方法来克服内生性问题。研究结果在所研究的国家中,收到的汇款流入量与购买力平价转换系数与市场汇率的价格水平比率之间存在统计意义上的显著负相关关系。这种关系解释了为什么汇款流入会使实际汇率贬值。研究结果还表明,尽管税率较高,但吸引投资可以提高机构的质量,从而导致税收减少。研究还揭示了荷兰病可能因需求结构和制造业发展政策的差异而发生。
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Do received remittances cause Dutch disease in developed and developing countries?
PurposeThe present study aimed to examine the effect of received remittance inflows on the price level ratio of the purchasing power parity conversion factor to the market exchange rate in 36 developed and developing countries from 2004 to 2020.Design/methodology/approachThe panel data conducted a comparative analysis and used panel least squares, regression with Driscoll-Kraay standard errors of fixed effect, random effect, feasible generalised least squares and maximum likelihood robust least squares to overcome the heterogeneity issue. Furthermore, the two-step difference generalised method of moments to overcome the endogeneity issue. Diagnostic tests were used to increase robustness.FindingsIn the studied countries, there was a statistically significant negative relationship between received remittance inflows and the price-level ratio of the purchasing power parity conversion factor to the market exchange rate. This relationship explains why remittance flows depreciate the real exchange rate. The study’s results also indicated that attracting investments can improve the quality of institutions despite high tax rates, leading to low tax revenue.Originality/valueThe current study findings enrich the understanding of policies of how governments should minimise tariff rates on capital imports and introduce export-oriented incentive programmes. The study also revealed that Dutch disease can occur due to differences in the demand structure and manufacturing development policy.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.00
自引率
5.90%
发文量
59
期刊介绍: The Journal of Economic Studies publishes high quality research findings and commentary on international developments in economics. The journal maintains a sound balance between economic theory and application at both the micro and the macro levels. Articles on economic issues between individual nations, emerging and evolving trading blocs are particularly welcomed. Contributors are encouraged to spell out the practical implications of their work for economists in government and industry
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