汇率失调与非洲金融发展

Tii N. Nchofoung, Nathanael Ojong, Ladifatou Ndi Gbambie Gachili
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们研究了汇率失调对非洲金融发展的影响。量化回归技术和 IV Lewbel 估计器的结果显示,汇率失调严重阻碍了非洲大陆的金融发展。这一结果在不同金融机构和金融市场之间都是稳健的。我们还发现,在非洲法郎区国家,汇率失调对金融机构的影响是负面的,对金融市场的影响是正面的,而在非法郎区国家,汇率失调对所有金融部门的影响都是负面的。在使用量化回归进行稳健性评估时,结果表明,在非洲,尤其是在非法郎区国家,汇率失调对金融发展的负面影响只有在第 75 百分位数以上才是可行的。
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Exchange rate misalignment and financial development in Africa
We examine the effect of misaligned exchange rates on financial development in Africa. Results from quantile regression techniques and the IV Lewbel estimator reveal that exchange rate misalignment significantly hampers financial development on that continent. This result is robust across financial institutions and financial markets. We also show that while the effects of misaligned exchange rates are negative on financial institutions and positive on financial markets in African franc-zone countries, the effects are consistently negative across all financial sectors in the non-franc-zone countries there. When robustness assessment is done using quantile regression, the results show that the negative effect of misalignment on financial development is only feasible from the 75th percentile and higher in Africa in general and for the non-franc-zone countries in particular.
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