越南朔庄雅南的海水入侵和农业用地变化

Phan Chi Nguyen, P. Vu, Nguyen Quoc Khuong, Huynh Vuong Thu Minh, Huynh Anh Vo
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摘要

在海水水位上升造成的盐水入侵、气候变化和社会经济问题的影响下,越南雅南地区的农业受到破坏,农业用地也发生了变化。本研究旨在调查影响土地利用变化的因素,并提出限制农用土地利用变化的方法。通过使用从 Nga Nam 县基础设施经济部收集的 2010-2021 年期间二手数据,评估了盐水入侵对农业生产造成的损害。结果显示,在 2010-2015 年期间,农业生产区在 2010 年、2012 年和 2015 年受到影响。在 2015-2021 年期间,由于防盐水结构的工作,受损区域沿线的盐水入侵趋势明显减弱。在此期间,一年生植物面积增加,而多年生树木面积减少。在一年生植物种植区,三季稻种植区转变为双季稻和双季稻-鱼种植区。多年生树木用地从混合耕作过渡到专业耕作,以提高农民的经济效益。这些变化主要受四个因素的影响:自然因素、经济因素、社会因素和环境因素。环境和经济因素被认为是土地利用变化的最重要驱动因素。盐水入侵和酸性硫酸盐污染土壤、消费市场、洪水、干旱、利润和投资等因素被认为是农业用地变化的重要驱动力。因此,建议采用结构性和非结构性方法来抑制未来的保障性变化。
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Saltwater Intrusion and Agricultural Land Use Change in Nga Nam, Soc Trang, Vietnam
Under the effects of saltwater intrusion from rising sea water levels, climate change, and socioeconomic issues, the Nga Nam district in Vietnam has suffered damage to its agriculture and changes in agricultural land use. This study aimed to investigate the factors that influenced land use changes and to propose approaches to limit the changes in agricultural land use. The damage caused by saltwater intrusion on agricultural production was evaluated via the use of secondary data collected from the Department of Infrastructure Economics of the Nga Nam district in the period of 2010–2021. The results show that during the 2010–2015 period, agricultural production areas were affected in 2010, 2012, and 2015. In the period of 2015–2021, the trend of saltwater intrusion along the damaged area remarkably decreased due to the work of saltwater-preventing structures. In this period, the area of annual plants increased, while that of perennial trees decreased. In the area comprising annual plants, the area using the triple rice land use type converted into an area using the double rice and double rice–fish ones. Lands for perennial trees transitioned from mixed farming to specialized farming to raise the economic efficiency for farmers. These changes were affected by four main factors: the physical factor, the economy, society, and the environment. The environmental and economic factors were seen to play the most important role as drivers of changes in land use. The factors of saltwater intrusion and acid-sulfate-contaminated soil, consumer markets, floods, drought, profit, and investments were noted to be significant drivers in agricultural land use change. Thus, both structural and non-structural approaches are suggested to inhibit the safeguard changes in the future.
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