打击恐怖主义:如何定位快速反应小组?

IF 1.9 4区 管理学 Q3 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Naval Research Logistics Pub Date : 2024-02-12 DOI:10.1002/nav.22170
Lotte van Aken, Loe Schlicher, Marco Slikker, Geert-Jan van Houtum
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引用次数: 0

摘要

鉴于最近发生的恐怖袭击事件,我们引入并研究了政府与恐怖分子之间的斯塔克尔伯格博弈。在这个博弈中,政府在一条线段(如长长的林荫大道或购物大道)上部署若干全副武装的快速反应小组,然后恐怖分子袭击潜在影响最大的地点。这种潜在影响(我们称之为损失)是距离最近的快速反应小组做出反应所需的时间与单位时间内造成的损失的乘积,我们通过损失率函数来模拟损失率。我们证明了存在一个子博弈完美纳什均衡,它能平衡快速反应小组定位后在线段所有区间可能造成的损害。我们讨论了各种类型损害率函数的影响,包括模拟繁忙林荫大道上各种热点位置的损害率函数。
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Fighting terrorism: How to position rapid response teams?
In light of recent terrorist attacks, we introduce and study a Stackelberg game between a government and a terrorist. In this game, the government positions a number of heavily-armed rapid response teams on a line segment (e.g., a long boulevard or shopping avenue) and then the terrorist attacks a location with the highest potential impact of an attack. This potential impact, which we call damage, is the product of the time it takes the closest rapid response team to react and the damage caused per time unit, which is modeled via a damage rate function. We prove that there exists a subgame perfect Nash equilibrium that balances the possible damage on all intervals of the line segment that result from positioning the rapid response teams. We discuss the implications for various types of damage rate functions including one mimicking a busy boulevard with various hotspot locations.
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来源期刊
Naval Research Logistics
Naval Research Logistics 管理科学-运筹学与管理科学
CiteScore
4.20
自引率
4.30%
发文量
47
审稿时长
8 months
期刊介绍: Submissions that are most appropriate for NRL are papers addressing modeling and analysis of problems motivated by real-world applications; major methodological advances in operations research and applied statistics; and expository or survey pieces of lasting value. Areas represented include (but are not limited to) probability, statistics, simulation, optimization, game theory, quality, scheduling, reliability, maintenance, supply chain, decision analysis, and combat models. Special issues devoted to a single topic are published occasionally, and proposals for special issues are welcomed by the Editorial Board.
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