后核世界的建立与反霸权:反对想象力的灾难性失败

IF 2.5 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS European Journal of International Security Pub Date : 2024-02-08 DOI:10.1017/eis.2024.4
Tom Vaughan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

对核政治和更广泛的国际关系的研究未能认真探讨未来的核裁军世界将会或应该是什么样子。针对这种想象力的缺失,我主张开展 "后核世界建设 "项目。围绕 2017 年《禁止核武器条约》(TPNW)的反霸权政治努力是将我们拥有核武器的现在与裁军的未来 "联系 "起来的有益的第一步。然而,它们并没有告诉我们这个未来更广泛的特征。此外,它们往往无法超越对合理性和概率的保守假设,从而不必要地排除了对另一种未来的所谓 "乌托邦 "愿景。在地球安全威胁所带来的不确定性日益加剧的背景下,后核世界的建立有助于在当下与截然不同的未来世界之间建立紧密联系,而不应将其视为不可能或不可能。该项目扩大了核未来和政策选择的范围,使其被认为是可以思考的,并为政治提供了面向未来的预示性元素,补充了现有的反霸权战略。它强调了核学者不可避免的乌托邦式思考义务。
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Post-nuclear worldmaking and counter-hegemony: Against catastrophic failures of imagination
Studies of nuclear politics and IR more widely have failed to seriously engage with what future nuclear-disarmed worlds would or should look like. I respond to this failure of imagination by advocating for a project of ‘post-nuclear worldmaking’. Counter-hegemonic political efforts around the 2017 Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW) are a useful first step to ‘connecting’ our nuclear-armed present to a disarmed future. However, they do not tell us much about the broader characteristics of this future. Moreover, they often fail to transcend conservative assumptions of plausibility and probability, which unnecessarily exclude what might be called ‘utopian’ visions of alternative futures. In the context of mounting uncertainty generated by threats to planetary security, post-nuclear worldmaking can assist in drawing strong connections between the present and radically different future worlds, which should not be discounted as improbable or impossible. This project enables a widening of the scope of nuclear futures and policy options which are considered thinkable, as well as contributing a future-facing, prefigurative element of politics which complements existing counter-hegemonic strategy. It highlights the unavoidable obligation for nuclear scholars to think in utopian terms.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
13.60%
发文量
30
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