尼日利亚创收与经济增长之间的联系

O. O. Ayoola-Akinjobi, Adeleye Micheal Adekusibe
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的总体目标是探讨尼日利亚创收与经济增长之间的关系。研究采用了事后研究设计,并从尼日利亚中央银行数据库(2012-2022 年)中收集了二手数据。因变量为经济增长,以国内生产总值 GDP 衡量;自变量为创收,以石油和非石油收入衡量。研究采用自回归分布滞后 ARDL 模型进行数据分析,该模型显示了尼日利亚创收与经济增长之间的长期关系。研究发现,从长期来看,石油收入(OILR)对尼日利亚经济增长的积极影响并不显著,显著值为 5%。这意味着石油收入每增加一个单位,尼日利亚的经济增长就会增加 3.709184 个单位。相反,非石油收入的系数为 1.257631 单位,呈显著正值。这意味着,非石油收入每增加一个单位,尼日利亚的经济增长将长期增加 1.257631 个单位。研究建议政府应努力将主要收入来源从石油转向农业、采掘业等其他经济部门,以增加其他来源的收入。
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The Nexus Between Revenue Generation and Economic Growth in Nigeria
The general objective of the study is to examine the relationship between revenue generation and economic growth in Nigeria. Ex-post facto research design was used with secondary data collected from CBN database (2012-2022). The dependent variable was economic growth and measured by gross domestic product GDP while the independent variables was revenue generation and measured by oil and non-oil revenue. The study adopt usage the autoregressive distributed lag ARDL model for the data analysis which shows the long-run relationship between revenue generation and economic growth in Nigeria. It was discovered that oil revenue (OILR) exerts an insignificant positive effect on economic growth in Nigeria in the long run at 5% significant value. It implies that a unit increase in oil revenue will lead to 3.709184 units increase in economic growth in Nigeria. Conversely, non-oil revenue has a positive and significant coefficient of 1.257631 units. This implies that a unit increase in non- oil revenue will bring about 1.257631 units increase in economic growth in Nigeria in the long. The study recommends that effort should be made by the governments to diversify the main revenue source from oil to other sectors of the economy such as agriculture, extractive industries in order to increase revenue generated from other sources
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