政治稳定与金融发展:实证调查

IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-15 DOI:10.1016/j.qref.2024.02.003
Michael Chletsos , Andreas Sintos
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引用次数: 0

摘要

政治稳定作为一个国家的基本政治制度,其重要性已得到广泛认可。然而,人们对政治稳定与金融机构和市场发展之间错综复杂的相互作用仍缺乏充分的探讨。通过对1980年至2017年期间123个国家的分析,我们发现了一个明显的模式:政治稳定水平的提高极大地促进了金融发展的进步。这种正相关关系在政府效率较高的国家、进行金融自由化改革的国家以及政治结构更加民主的国家表现得更为明显。这些结果对政治稳定性的其他衡量标准、国家异质性控制、使用内部生成工具的两阶段最小二乘法技术来解决内生性问题以及其他一些稳健性检验都是稳健的。我们的研究结果强调,各国应优先考虑创造一个更加稳定的政治环境,因为这不仅能改善增长前景,还能为经济主体积极参与金融市场创造一个充满信心的环境。
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Political stability and financial development: An empirical investigation

The significance of political stability as a fundamental political institution within a country is widely acknowledged. However, the intricate interplay between political stability and the development of financial institutions and markets remains inadequately explored. Through an analysis encompassing 123 countries spanning the temporal interval of 1980 to 2017, a discernible pattern emerges: heightened levels of political stability substantively foster the advancement of financial development. This positive association is pronounced in countries characterized by greater government effectiveness, those enacting financial liberalization reforms, and those exhibiting a more democratic political structure. The results are robust to alternative measures of political stability, controlling for country heterogeneity, a two-stage least squares technique using internally generated instruments to address endogeneity issues, among several other robustness tests. Our results emphasize that countries should prioritize the creation of a more politically stable environment, as it not only improves growth prospects, but also creates a climate of confidence for economic agents to actively engage in financial markets.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.00
自引率
2.90%
发文量
118
期刊介绍: The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance (QREF) attracts and publishes high quality manuscripts that cover topics in the areas of economics, financial economics and finance. The subject matter may be theoretical, empirical or policy related. Emphasis is placed on quality, originality, clear arguments, persuasive evidence, intelligent analysis and clear writing. At least one Special Issue is published per year. These issues have guest editors, are devoted to a single theme and the papers have well known authors. In addition we pride ourselves in being able to provide three to four article "Focus" sections in most of our issues.
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