利用机器学习对 IPL-T20 板球比赛进行综合分析和预测建模

Probodh Narayan Gour, Mohd. Faheem Khan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目标:本研究旨在利用机器学习技术为印度板球超级联赛(IPL)的比赛结果开发一个预测模型。为了提供一个能够预测 IPL 比赛结果的精确框架,本研究旨在检查球员统计数据、比赛动态和历史数据。方法:本研究使用 SVM、随机森林、逻辑回归、决策树和 KNN 模型来预测球员在任何一天的表现。球员的状态、体能和之前的成绩都是作为特征的历史数据。每个模型都经过了训练和测试阶段,并对准确率、精确度和召回率进行了评估,以确定预测球员表现的最有效算法。研究结果 :最终研究表明,竞争对手球队的相对实力、球员近期状态和对手配对是预测球员和球队在任何一天表现的显著特征。所构建的基于多机学习方法的模型的准确率为 0.71,进一步表明特定挑战的成绩有所提高。团队实力建模与球员个人击球和保龄球表现建模类似,这也是我们方法的基础。新颖性:本文的设计基于一种利用组合机器学习方法的新颖方法。我们发现,这种方法在预测球员某一天的表现方面取得了前所未有的进步。此外,通过解决现有方法的局限性,本文提出的方法可能被证明在开辟新途径以推进体育分析中的机器学习应用方面具有重要价值。关键词机器学习 体育分析 SVM 随机森林 KNN
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Utilizing Machine Learning for Comprehensive Analysis and Predictive Modelling of IPL-T20 Cricket Matches
Objective : Current study intends to develop a predictive model for Indian Premier League (IPL) cricket match results using machine learning techniques. In order to provide a precise framework that allows for the prediction of IPL match outcomes, it aims to examine player statistics, match dynamics, and historical data. Method : SVM, Random Forest, Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, and KNN models were used in this study to predict player performance on any given day. Form, fitness, and previous results were among the historical player data that were used as characteristics. Each model preceded through training and testing phases, with accuracy, precision, and recall metrics evaluated to determine the most effective algorithm for forecasting player performance. Findings : Final studies indicated that relative team strength of competitor teams, recent form of players, and opponent pairings are distinguishing features for predicting the performance of both players and teams on any given day. The multi-machine learning approach-based model that was constructed demonstrated an accuracy of 0.71, further indicating improved performance for the given challenge. Modelling team strength is similar to modelling individual player batting and bowling performances, which is the cornerstone of our approach. Novelty : This paper was designed based on a novel approach leveraging combinatorial machine learning methods. This has been found to demonstrate unprecedented performance improvement in predicting a player’s performance on a given day. Additionally, the presented approach may prove valuable in opening new avenues to advance machine learning applications in sports analytics by addressing the limitations of existing methods. Keywords: Machine Learning, Sports analytics, SVM, Random Forest, KNN
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