Á. Muñoz-Zavala, J. Macías-Díaz, Daniel Alba-Cuéllar, José A. Guerrero-Díaz-de-León
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引用次数: 0
摘要
本文回顾了人工神经网络(ANN)模型在时间序列预测任务中的应用。首先,我们简要介绍了与时间序列分析相关的一些基本概念和术语,并概述了文献中考虑用于时间序列预测的一些最流行的人工神经网络架构:前馈神经网络、径向基函数网络、递归神经网络和自组织图。我们分析了这些架构在时间序列建模方面的优缺点。然后,我们总结了最近在文献中发现的一些时间序列 ANN 建模应用,主要侧重于前面概述的架构。我们认为,这些总结的技术构成了该领域研发工作的代表性样本。我们的目标是为普通读者提供一个良好的视角,让他们了解在时间序列建模和预测任务中是如何使用 ANN 的。最后,我们对这一领域可能的新研究方向进行了评论。
A Literature Review on Some Trends in Artificial Neural Networks for Modeling and Simulation with Time Series
This paper reviews the application of artificial neural network (ANN) models to time series prediction tasks. We begin by briefly introducing some basic concepts and terms related to time series analysis, and by outlining some of the most popular ANN architectures considered in the literature for time series forecasting purposes: feedforward neural networks, radial basis function networks, recurrent neural networks, and self-organizing maps. We analyze the strengths and weaknesses of these architectures in the context of time series modeling. We then summarize some recent time series ANN modeling applications found in the literature, focusing mainly on the previously outlined architectures. In our opinion, these summarized techniques constitute a representative sample of the research and development efforts made in this field. We aim to provide the general reader with a good perspective on how ANNs have been employed for time series modeling and forecasting tasks. Finally, we comment on possible new research directions in this area.