绿色能源和传统能源系统性风险的共性

IF 13.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Energy Economics Pub Date : 2026-08-01 Epub Date: 2024-02-12 DOI:10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107404
Md Akhtaruzzaman , Molla Ramizur Rahman
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们的研究是一种新颖的尝试,将传统能源的子行业(即石油和天然气、原油生产、炼油和营销、石油设备和服务)和绿色能源的子行业(即可再生能源)进行研究,以分析系统性风险和共性。结果表明,自2006年以来,绿色能源的系统性风险有所下降,表明向净零排放的转变。此外,我们开发了绿色能源和传统能源的系统传染指数(SCI)。上证综指显示,绿色能源的传染性低于传统能源。然而,传统能源在危机期间的传染性似乎较低,这表明其羊群特征和投资者在危机期间对传统能源的偏好。绿色能源和传统能源之间的轻度系统性风险共性为转向绿色能源提供了机会,从而提高了实现净零排放的可能性。这些发现为政策制定者制定全球绿色和传统能源政策以在2050年实现净零排放提供了指导。
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Commonality in systemic risk from green and conventional energy
Our study is a novel attempt to examine the sub-industry sectors of conventional energy (i.e., oil & gas, crude production, oil refinery & marketing, and oil equipment and services) and the sub-industry sector of green energy (i.e., renewable energy) to analyse the systemic risk and commonality. The results show that the systemic risk for green energy has decreased since 2006, indicating a shift towards net-zero emissions. Further, we develop a systemic contagion index (SCI) for green and conventional energy. The SCI shows that green energy has lower contagion than conventional energy. However, conventional energy appears to create lower contagion during crises, indicating its herding characteristics and investors' preference for conventional energy during crises. A mild systemic risk commonality between green and conventional energy provides an opportunity to shift towards green energy, thus enhancing the possibility of achieving net-zero emissions. These findings provide guidance to policymakers to build the global green and conventional energy policy to achieve net-zero emissions in 2050.
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来源期刊
Energy Economics
Energy Economics ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
18.60
自引率
12.50%
发文量
524
期刊介绍: Energy Economics is a field journal that focuses on energy economics and energy finance. It covers various themes including the exploitation, conversion, and use of energy, markets for energy commodities and derivatives, regulation and taxation, forecasting, environment and climate, international trade, development, and monetary policy. The journal welcomes contributions that utilize diverse methods such as experiments, surveys, econometrics, decomposition, simulation models, equilibrium models, optimization models, and analytical models. It publishes a combination of papers employing different methods to explore a wide range of topics. The journal's replication policy encourages the submission of replication studies, wherein researchers reproduce and extend the key results of original studies while explaining any differences. Energy Economics is indexed and abstracted in several databases including Environmental Abstracts, Fuel and Energy Abstracts, Social Sciences Citation Index, GEOBASE, Social & Behavioral Sciences, Journal of Economic Literature, INSPEC, and more.
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