{"title":"绿色能源和传统能源系统性风险的共性","authors":"Md Akhtaruzzaman , Molla Ramizur Rahman","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107404","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Our study is a novel attempt to examine the sub-industry sectors of conventional energy (i.e., oil & gas, crude production, oil refinery & marketing, and oil equipment and services) and the sub-industry sector of green energy (i.e., renewable energy) to analyse the systemic risk and commonality. The results show that the systemic risk for green energy has decreased since 2006, indicating a shift towards net-zero emissions. Further, we develop a systemic contagion index (SCI) for green and conventional energy. The SCI shows that green energy has lower contagion than conventional energy. However, conventional energy appears to create lower contagion during crises, indicating its herding characteristics and investors' preference for conventional energy during crises. A mild systemic risk commonality between green and conventional energy provides an opportunity to shift towards green energy, thus enhancing the possibility of achieving net-zero emissions. These findings provide guidance to policymakers to build the global green and conventional energy policy to achieve net-zero emissions in 2050.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"160 ","pages":"Article 107404"},"PeriodicalIF":13.5000,"publicationDate":"2026-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Commonality in systemic risk from green and conventional energy\",\"authors\":\"Md Akhtaruzzaman , Molla Ramizur Rahman\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107404\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Our study is a novel attempt to examine the sub-industry sectors of conventional energy (i.e., oil & gas, crude production, oil refinery & marketing, and oil equipment and services) and the sub-industry sector of green energy (i.e., renewable energy) to analyse the systemic risk and commonality. The results show that the systemic risk for green energy has decreased since 2006, indicating a shift towards net-zero emissions. Further, we develop a systemic contagion index (SCI) for green and conventional energy. The SCI shows that green energy has lower contagion than conventional energy. However, conventional energy appears to create lower contagion during crises, indicating its herding characteristics and investors' preference for conventional energy during crises. A mild systemic risk commonality between green and conventional energy provides an opportunity to shift towards green energy, thus enhancing the possibility of achieving net-zero emissions. These findings provide guidance to policymakers to build the global green and conventional energy policy to achieve net-zero emissions in 2050.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":11665,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Energy Economics\",\"volume\":\"160 \",\"pages\":\"Article 107404\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":13.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2026-08-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Energy Economics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140988324001129\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2024/2/12 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"Epub\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Energy Economics","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140988324001129","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2024/2/12 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Commonality in systemic risk from green and conventional energy
Our study is a novel attempt to examine the sub-industry sectors of conventional energy (i.e., oil & gas, crude production, oil refinery & marketing, and oil equipment and services) and the sub-industry sector of green energy (i.e., renewable energy) to analyse the systemic risk and commonality. The results show that the systemic risk for green energy has decreased since 2006, indicating a shift towards net-zero emissions. Further, we develop a systemic contagion index (SCI) for green and conventional energy. The SCI shows that green energy has lower contagion than conventional energy. However, conventional energy appears to create lower contagion during crises, indicating its herding characteristics and investors' preference for conventional energy during crises. A mild systemic risk commonality between green and conventional energy provides an opportunity to shift towards green energy, thus enhancing the possibility of achieving net-zero emissions. These findings provide guidance to policymakers to build the global green and conventional energy policy to achieve net-zero emissions in 2050.
期刊介绍:
Energy Economics is a field journal that focuses on energy economics and energy finance. It covers various themes including the exploitation, conversion, and use of energy, markets for energy commodities and derivatives, regulation and taxation, forecasting, environment and climate, international trade, development, and monetary policy. The journal welcomes contributions that utilize diverse methods such as experiments, surveys, econometrics, decomposition, simulation models, equilibrium models, optimization models, and analytical models. It publishes a combination of papers employing different methods to explore a wide range of topics. The journal's replication policy encourages the submission of replication studies, wherein researchers reproduce and extend the key results of original studies while explaining any differences. Energy Economics is indexed and abstracted in several databases including Environmental Abstracts, Fuel and Energy Abstracts, Social Sciences Citation Index, GEOBASE, Social & Behavioral Sciences, Journal of Economic Literature, INSPEC, and more.