EnKF 和 EnOI 在北太平洋地区的性能比较

Seungtae Lee, Yang-Ki Cho, Jihun Jung, Byoung-Ju Choi, Young-Ho Kim, Sangil Kim
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摘要

北太平洋根据洋流和海面温度(SST)分布划分为不同的区域。由于观测数据的可用性有限,数据同化是生成精确海洋估算值的有用工具。这项研究比较了两种数据同化方法--集合最优内插法(EnOI)和集合卡尔曼滤波法(EnKF)--在北太平洋各分区域的性能,使用的是区域海洋模拟系统(ROMS)配置的海洋模式。这两种方法都同化了空间海温观测数据,模拟结果因次区域而异。研究发现,与卫星海温相比,EnKF 和 EnOI 方法在所有区域的表现都优于对照模式。EnOI 对 SST 的再现效果与 EnKF 相当,所需的计算资源也更少。然而,EnOI 在赤道地区海面高度(SSH)方面的表现不如对照模式,而 EnKF 的表现则有所改善。这是由于 EnOI 使用了长期历史数据作为集合成员,其平均值状态被碾压所致。赤道地区的厄尔尼诺-南方涛动造成了巨大的年际变化,从而破坏了 EnOI 中 SSH 的集合平均值。考虑到海洋变量的区域特性,针对目标区域使用合适的同化方法至关重要。否则,同化模式的性能可能比对照模式更差。EnKF 更适合于海洋变量变化较大的地区,而 EnOI 所需的计算资源较少。因此,使用合适的同化方法对准确预测和了解北太平洋的动态变化至关重要。
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Regional Comparison of Performance between EnKF and EnOI in the North Pacific
The North Pacific is divided into different regions based on ocean currents and sea surface temperature (SST) distribution. Data assimilation is a useful tool for generating accurate ocean estimates because of the limited availability of observational data. This study compared the performances of two data assimilation methods, ensemble optimal interpolation (EnOI) and ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), in various North Pacific subregions using an ocean model configured with the Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS). Both methods assimilated spaceborne SST observations, and the simulation results varied by subregion. The study found that EnKF and EnOI methods performed better than the control model in all regions when compared against satellite SST. EnOI reproduced SST as well as EnKF and required fewer computational resources. However, EnOI performed worse than the control model at sea surface height (SSH) in the equatorial region, while EnKF’s performance improved. This was due to the crushed mean state in the EnOI, which used long-term historical data as an ensemble member. El Niño–Southern Oscillation at the equator drove substantial interannual variability that crushed the ensemble mean of SSH in the EnOI. It is crucial to use a suitable assimilation method for the target area, considering the regional properties of ocean variables. Otherwise, the performance of the assimilated model may be even worse than that of the control model. While EnKF is better suited for regions with high variability in ocean variables, EnOI requires fewer computational resources. Thus, it is crucial to use a suitable assimilation method for accurately predicting and understanding the dynamics of the North Pacific.
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