阿尔及利亚 COVID-19 大流行期间的高死亡率:奥兰省的案例

IF 0.3 4区 医学 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Sante Publique Pub Date : 2024-02-23 DOI:10.3917/spub.236.0141
Mourad Raiah, Aicha Henien Djelloul Saiah, Karima Youcef, Mohammed El-Amine Bahmed, Lydia Benrabah, Khadidja Terki
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引用次数: 0

摘要

研究目的本研究旨在估算 2020 年 3 月至 2022 年 12 月 COVID-19 大流行期间奥兰的超额死亡率:用于估算超额死亡率的每月全因数据与大流行前(2011 年 1 月至 2020 年 2 月)的数据进行了对比。2020 年 3 月至 2022 年 12 月期间的超额死亡率采用准泊松回归法进行估算。分析按年龄组进行分层:结果:2020 年 3 月至 2022 年 12 月期间,超额死亡率为 30%,相当于平均每月 112 例超额死亡。在 20-39 岁、40-59 岁、60-79 岁和 80 岁及以上年龄组中,观察到的死亡人数高于预期。0-19 岁年龄组没有出现超额死亡率:COVID-19大流行导致奥兰地区全因死亡率显著上升。我们的研究结果突出表明,在当前大流行病等情况下,监测全因超额死亡率作为疾病负担指标的重要性。
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Excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic in Algeria: The case of Oran Province

Objective: This study aimed to estimate excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic in Oran between March 2020 and December 2022.

Method: Monthly all-cause data used to estimate excess mortality were modeled against the pre-pandemic period (January 2011-February 2020). Excess mortality between March 2020 and December 2022 was estimated using a quasi-Poisson regression. Analyses were stratified by age group.

Results: From March 2020 to December 2022, there was a 30% excess mortality rate, corresponding to an average of 112 monthly excess deaths. Observed numbers of deaths were higher than expected for the age groups 20–39, 40–59, 60–79, and 80 and above. The age group 0–19 did not show excess mortality.

Conclusion: The COVID-19 pandemic has been associated with a significant increase in all-cause mortality in Oran. Our results highlight the importance of monitoring all-cause excess mortality as an indicator of the disease burden in situations such as the current pandemic.

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来源期刊
Sante Publique
Sante Publique PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH-
CiteScore
0.40
自引率
33.30%
发文量
252
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: La revue Santé Publique s’adresse à l’ensemble des acteurs de santé publique qu’ils soient décideurs, professionnels de santé, acteurs de terrain, chercheurs, enseignants ou formateurs, etc. Elle publie des travaux de recherche, des évaluations, des analyses d’action, des réflexions sur des interventions de santé, des opinions, relevant des champs de la santé publique et de l’analyse des services de soins, des sciences sociales et de l’action sociale. Santé publique est une revue à comité de lecture, multidisciplinaire et généraliste, qui publie sur l’ensemble des thèmes de la santé publique parmi lesquels : accès et recours aux soins, déterminants et inégalités sociales de santé, prévention, éducation pour la santé, promotion de la santé, organisation des soins, environnement, formation des professionnels de santé, nutrition, politiques de santé, pratiques professionnelles, qualité des soins, gestion des risques sanitaires, représentation et santé perçue, santé scolaire, santé et travail, systèmes de santé, systèmes d’information, veille sanitaire, déterminants de la consommation de soins, organisation et économie des différents secteurs de production de soins (hôpital, médicament, etc.), évaluation médico-économique d’activités de soins ou de prévention et de programmes de santé, planification des ressources, politiques de régulation et de financement, etc
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