瑞士的 COVID-19 疫苗接种活动及其对疾病传播的影响

IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Epidemics Pub Date : 2024-02-20 DOI:10.1016/j.epidem.2024.100745
M. Bekker-Nielsen Dunbar, L. Held
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们分析了传染病病例监测数据,以估计 COVID-19 在瑞士的传播情况,并了解引入疫苗防治该疾病的影响。这项工作中使用的数据广泛而详细,包括按年龄和地区分列的每周病例数和疫苗接种率。我们的方法考虑到了免疫力的减弱。通过统计分析,我们可以确定选择其他疫苗接种策略的效果。我们的结果表明,疫苗接种率越高,病例数越少,尤其是对疫苗接种不足的地区影响更大。不针对特定年龄组的替代分配方案也会导致总体病例减少,但在预防性推广的早期阶段,可能会导致老年人(潜在的易感人群)中的病例增加。
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The COVID-19 vaccination campaign in Switzerland and its impact on disease spread

We analyse infectious disease case surveillance data to estimate COVID-19 spread and gain an understanding of the impact of introducing vaccines to counter the disease in Switzerland. The data used in this work is extensive and detailed and includes information on weekly number of cases and vaccination rates by age and region. Our approach takes into account waning immunity. The statistical analysis allows us to determine the effects of choosing alternative vaccination strategies. Our results indicate greater uptake of vaccine would have led to fewer cases with a particularly large effect on undervaccinated regions. An alternative distribution scheme not targeting specific age groups also leads to fewer cases overall but could lead to more cases among the elderly (a potentially vulnerable population) during the early stage of prophylaxis rollout.

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来源期刊
Epidemics
Epidemics INFECTIOUS DISEASES-
CiteScore
6.00
自引率
7.90%
发文量
92
审稿时长
140 days
期刊介绍: Epidemics publishes papers on infectious disease dynamics in the broadest sense. Its scope covers both within-host dynamics of infectious agents and dynamics at the population level, particularly the interaction between the two. Areas of emphasis include: spread, transmission, persistence, implications and population dynamics of infectious diseases; population and public health as well as policy aspects of control and prevention; dynamics at the individual level; interaction with the environment, ecology and evolution of infectious diseases, as well as population genetics of infectious agents.
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