冷冻技术:陷阱与转变。

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2024-02-29 DOI:10.1111/bioe.13277
Daniel Story
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引用次数: 0

摘要

冷冻疗法是指冷冻保存合法死亡者的身体或大脑,希望这些人在未来能够复活。冷冻疗法的一个标准论点是,尽管冷冻疗法的成功与否存在不确定性,但从审慎的角度来看,冷冻疗法是合理的,因为在最坏的情况下,如果你不选择冷冻疗法,你的境况不会比原来更糟,而在最好的情况下,你的境况会比原来好得多。因此,这是一个很好的、无风险的赌注;从博弈论的角度来看,相对于不使用冷冻技术而言,冷冻技术是一个弱占优势的策略。我反对这种说法,原因有二。首先,我认为,冷冻疗法有可能使人陷入无法逃避的非常糟糕的境地,这与实际情况有关。因此,冷冻疗法既不是一个无风险的赌注,也不是一个弱占优势的策略。其次,我认为,被复活并生活在遥远未来的经历很可能会带来转变,这种可能性削弱了你认为复活对你有益的理由。我的结论是,标准论证并不能说明冷冻疗法在审慎方面是合理的。
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Cryonics: Traps and transformations

Cryonics is the practice of cryopreserving the bodies or brains of legally dead individuals with the hope that these individuals will be reanimated in the future. A standard argument for cryonics says that cryonics is prudentially justified despite uncertainty about its success because at worst it will leave you no worse off than you otherwise would have been had you not chosen cryonics, and at best it will leave you much better off than you otherwise would have been. Thus, it is a good, no-risk bet; in game-theoretic terms, cryonics is a weakly dominant strategy relative to refraining from utilizing cryonics. I object to this argument for two reasons. First, I argue that there is a practically relevant chance that cryonics will put you into an inescapable and very bad situation. Hence, cryonics is neither a no-risk bet nor a weakly dominant strategy. Second, I argue that the experience of being reanimated and living in the distant future would likely be transformative, and this likelihood undermines your justification for thinking that reanimation would be beneficial to you. I conclude that the standard argument does not show that cryonics is prudentially justified.

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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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