评估公共政策对巴西猴痘的影响

IF 1.5 4区 社会学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Evaluation and Program Planning Pub Date : 2024-02-24 DOI:10.1016/j.evalprogplan.2024.102414
Carlos Jefferson de Melo Santos , Angelo Marcio Oliveira Sant’Anna
{"title":"评估公共政策对巴西猴痘的影响","authors":"Carlos Jefferson de Melo Santos ,&nbsp;Angelo Marcio Oliveira Sant’Anna","doi":"10.1016/j.evalprogplan.2024.102414","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Brazil ranked third in the number of Monkeypox infected worldwide in early September 2022 and eighth in multiple deaths. Brazilian Ministry of Health prepared a public policy to face the smallpox outbreak. This paper aims to analyze the governmental public policy’ impacts on Monkeypox using survival analysis. The information in the database was collected from epidemiological bulletins on the official websites of the Brazilian Ministry of Health and the World Health Organization (WHO). The survival analysis with parametric statistical analysis, semiparametric with Cox regression, and nonparametric analysis were used. The inference of causality was perceived by the impact caused by the national public policy with the proportional reduction in the number of cases in the treatment group (Chi-sq = 117.783, p &lt; 0.001), contrary to what was perceived in the control group, as well as survival about the time of the states that elaborated their plans based on what was made available by the government. The need to evaluate government projects should be within the scope of project management in Brazilian states and provide for more assertive decision-making in the fight against smallpox</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48046,"journal":{"name":"Evaluation and Program Planning","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.5000,"publicationDate":"2024-02-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Evaluation of the public policy impacts on Monkeypox in Brazil\",\"authors\":\"Carlos Jefferson de Melo Santos ,&nbsp;Angelo Marcio Oliveira Sant’Anna\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.evalprogplan.2024.102414\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>Brazil ranked third in the number of Monkeypox infected worldwide in early September 2022 and eighth in multiple deaths. Brazilian Ministry of Health prepared a public policy to face the smallpox outbreak. This paper aims to analyze the governmental public policy’ impacts on Monkeypox using survival analysis. The information in the database was collected from epidemiological bulletins on the official websites of the Brazilian Ministry of Health and the World Health Organization (WHO). The survival analysis with parametric statistical analysis, semiparametric with Cox regression, and nonparametric analysis were used. The inference of causality was perceived by the impact caused by the national public policy with the proportional reduction in the number of cases in the treatment group (Chi-sq = 117.783, p &lt; 0.001), contrary to what was perceived in the control group, as well as survival about the time of the states that elaborated their plans based on what was made available by the government. The need to evaluate government projects should be within the scope of project management in Brazilian states and provide for more assertive decision-making in the fight against smallpox</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48046,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Evaluation and Program Planning\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-02-24\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Evaluation and Program Planning\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"90\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0149718924000156\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"社会学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Evaluation and Program Planning","FirstCategoryId":"90","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0149718924000156","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

2022 年 9 月初,巴西的猴痘感染人数在全球排名第三,死亡人数在全球排名第八。巴西卫生部制定了应对天花爆发的公共政策。本文旨在利用生存分析法分析政府公共政策对猴痘的影响。数据库中的信息来自巴西卫生部和世界卫生组织(WHO)官方网站上的流行病学公告。使用了参数统计分析的生存分析、考克斯回归的半参数分析和非参数分析。推断因果关系的依据是国家公共政策的影响,即治疗组病例数按比例减少(Chi-sq = 117.783,p<0.001),与对照组的情况相反,以及根据政府提供的信息制定计划的各州的存活时间。对政府项目进行评估的必要性应纳入巴西各州的项目管理范围,并在防治天花的斗争中提供更加果断的决策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Evaluation of the public policy impacts on Monkeypox in Brazil

Brazil ranked third in the number of Monkeypox infected worldwide in early September 2022 and eighth in multiple deaths. Brazilian Ministry of Health prepared a public policy to face the smallpox outbreak. This paper aims to analyze the governmental public policy’ impacts on Monkeypox using survival analysis. The information in the database was collected from epidemiological bulletins on the official websites of the Brazilian Ministry of Health and the World Health Organization (WHO). The survival analysis with parametric statistical analysis, semiparametric with Cox regression, and nonparametric analysis were used. The inference of causality was perceived by the impact caused by the national public policy with the proportional reduction in the number of cases in the treatment group (Chi-sq = 117.783, p < 0.001), contrary to what was perceived in the control group, as well as survival about the time of the states that elaborated their plans based on what was made available by the government. The need to evaluate government projects should be within the scope of project management in Brazilian states and provide for more assertive decision-making in the fight against smallpox

求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
Evaluation and Program Planning
Evaluation and Program Planning SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
6.20%
发文量
112
期刊介绍: Evaluation and Program Planning is based on the principle that the techniques and methods of evaluation and planning transcend the boundaries of specific fields and that relevant contributions to these areas come from people representing many different positions, intellectual traditions, and interests. In order to further the development of evaluation and planning, we publish articles from the private and public sectors in a wide range of areas: organizational development and behavior, training, planning, human resource development, health and mental, social services, mental retardation, corrections, substance abuse, and education.
期刊最新文献
Anticipatory evaluation. How to incorporate an anticipatory technique into a theory-driven evaluation process. Results of application in a case study. What evaluation criteria are used in policy evaluation research: A cross-field literature review A program evaluation of the new choices workforce development program: An appreciative inquiry approach The Problems (and possible solutions) of assessing risk, race and recidivism in long operating drug treatment courts A theoretical framework to companies value creation through a systematic review of intangibles’ management
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1