MambaStock:用于股票预测的选择性状态空间模型

Zhuangwei Shi
{"title":"MambaStock:用于股票预测的选择性状态空间模型","authors":"Zhuangwei Shi","doi":"arxiv-2402.18959","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The stock market plays a pivotal role in economic development, yet its\nintricate volatility poses challenges for investors. Consequently, research and\naccurate predictions of stock price movements are crucial for mitigating risks.\nTraditional time series models fall short in capturing nonlinearity, leading to\nunsatisfactory stock predictions. This limitation has spurred the widespread\nadoption of neural networks for stock prediction, owing to their robust\nnonlinear generalization capabilities. Recently, Mamba, a structured state\nspace sequence model with a selection mechanism and scan module (S6), has\nemerged as a powerful tool in sequence modeling tasks. Leveraging this\nframework, this paper proposes a novel Mamba-based model for stock price\nprediction, named MambaStock. The proposed MambaStock model effectively mines\nhistorical stock market data to predict future stock prices without handcrafted\nfeatures or extensive preprocessing procedures. Empirical studies on several\nstocks indicate that the MambaStock model outperforms previous methods,\ndelivering highly accurate predictions. This enhanced accuracy can assist\ninvestors and institutions in making informed decisions, aiming to maximize\nreturns while minimizing risks. This work underscores the value of Mamba in\ntime-series forecasting. Source code is available at\nhttps://github.com/zshicode/MambaStock.","PeriodicalId":501139,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Statistical Finance","volume":"8 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-02-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"MambaStock: Selective state space model for stock prediction\",\"authors\":\"Zhuangwei Shi\",\"doi\":\"arxiv-2402.18959\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The stock market plays a pivotal role in economic development, yet its\\nintricate volatility poses challenges for investors. Consequently, research and\\naccurate predictions of stock price movements are crucial for mitigating risks.\\nTraditional time series models fall short in capturing nonlinearity, leading to\\nunsatisfactory stock predictions. This limitation has spurred the widespread\\nadoption of neural networks for stock prediction, owing to their robust\\nnonlinear generalization capabilities. Recently, Mamba, a structured state\\nspace sequence model with a selection mechanism and scan module (S6), has\\nemerged as a powerful tool in sequence modeling tasks. Leveraging this\\nframework, this paper proposes a novel Mamba-based model for stock price\\nprediction, named MambaStock. The proposed MambaStock model effectively mines\\nhistorical stock market data to predict future stock prices without handcrafted\\nfeatures or extensive preprocessing procedures. Empirical studies on several\\nstocks indicate that the MambaStock model outperforms previous methods,\\ndelivering highly accurate predictions. This enhanced accuracy can assist\\ninvestors and institutions in making informed decisions, aiming to maximize\\nreturns while minimizing risks. This work underscores the value of Mamba in\\ntime-series forecasting. Source code is available at\\nhttps://github.com/zshicode/MambaStock.\",\"PeriodicalId\":501139,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"arXiv - QuantFin - Statistical Finance\",\"volume\":\"8 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-02-29\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"arXiv - QuantFin - Statistical Finance\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/arxiv-2402.18959\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"arXiv - QuantFin - Statistical Finance","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2402.18959","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

股票市场在经济发展中起着举足轻重的作用,但其错综复杂的波动性给投资者带来了挑战。因此,研究并准确预测股价走势对于降低风险至关重要。传统的时间序列模型在捕捉非线性方面存在不足,导致股票预测结果不尽人意。由于神经网络具有强大的非线性泛化能力,这一局限性促使神经网络被广泛应用于股票预测。最近,具有选择机制和扫描模块(S6)的结构化状态空间序列模型 Mamba 成为序列建模任务中的有力工具。利用这一框架,本文提出了一种基于 Mamba 的新型股票价格预测模型,命名为 MambaStock。所提出的 MambaStock 模型可以有效地挖掘历史股票市场数据来预测未来股票价格,而无需手工制作特征或大量预处理程序。对几种股票的实证研究表明,MambaStock 模型优于以前的方法,能提供高精度的预测。这种更高的准确性可以帮助投资者和机构做出明智的决策,从而实现收益最大化和风险最小化。这项工作强调了 Mamba intime 系列预测的价值。源代码可在https://github.com/zshicode/MambaStock。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
MambaStock: Selective state space model for stock prediction
The stock market plays a pivotal role in economic development, yet its intricate volatility poses challenges for investors. Consequently, research and accurate predictions of stock price movements are crucial for mitigating risks. Traditional time series models fall short in capturing nonlinearity, leading to unsatisfactory stock predictions. This limitation has spurred the widespread adoption of neural networks for stock prediction, owing to their robust nonlinear generalization capabilities. Recently, Mamba, a structured state space sequence model with a selection mechanism and scan module (S6), has emerged as a powerful tool in sequence modeling tasks. Leveraging this framework, this paper proposes a novel Mamba-based model for stock price prediction, named MambaStock. The proposed MambaStock model effectively mines historical stock market data to predict future stock prices without handcrafted features or extensive preprocessing procedures. Empirical studies on several stocks indicate that the MambaStock model outperforms previous methods, delivering highly accurate predictions. This enhanced accuracy can assist investors and institutions in making informed decisions, aiming to maximize returns while minimizing risks. This work underscores the value of Mamba in time-series forecasting. Source code is available at https://github.com/zshicode/MambaStock.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊最新文献
Macroscopic properties of equity markets: stylized facts and portfolio performance Tuning into Climate Risks: Extracting Innovation from TV News for Clean Energy Firms On the macroeconomic fundamentals of long-term volatilities and dynamic correlations in COMEX copper futures Market information of the fractional stochastic regularity model Critical Dynamics of Random Surfaces
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1